運用MCDM法探討投資東南亞房地產考量因素與決策─以印尼、泰國、馬來西亞為例

劉于琳

doi:10.6846/TKU.2016.00785

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运用MCDM法探讨投资东南亚房地产考量因素与决策─以印尼、泰国、马来西亚为例

Using MCDM Method to Explore The Considerations and Decisions of Selecting Real Estate in Southeast Asia : A Case Study in Indonesia , Thailand and Malaysia

刘于琳 , 硕士　　导师：李文雄　　

繁体中文 DOI： 10.6846/TKU.2016.00785

国外房地产；投资；多准则决策； MCDM ； DEMATEL ； DANP ； VIKOR ； Foreign real estate ； investment ； MCDM ； DEMATEL ； DANP ； VIKOR

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摘要 │ 参考文献 (68) │ 国际计量

摘要〈TOP〉

并列摘要〈TOP〉

In 2014, almost all currencies against NT dollar appreciated, people who invest overseas real estate may have profit in both prices and exchange rates. In recent years, the Government actively stabilize housing prices, but the domestic stock market and real estate market are now in the doldrums, making investment in overseas real estate prosperity. The global center of economic gravity from Europe and America into Asia, particularly Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). This study is based on using MCDM method to explore the considerations and decisions of selecting real estate in Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia.
	MCDM method used in this study can find the relative relationship between the factors and calculate the weight of each factor, identify the key selection criteria, and arranged the investment advantages and disadvantages of the order which according to the weight of each factor, and make the best decision. This method applies to the considered foreign real estate investment selection decisions which need various factors. Through this study, we look forward to improve the accuracy of foreign real estate investment.
	First of all, " Land Value Increment Tax" is the most influential factor, the result was got by the DEMATEL analysis. If you need to improve other criteria, this criterion can be a major consideration. And "Real Estate Market Risk" has maximum relevance, which means experts and scholars consider the criterion is the most important selection criteria .Secondly, do weight analysis by DANP method, the seven criteria from high to low are Real Estate Market Risk, Capital Gains, National Security, Capital Gains Tax, Political Risk, Rental Income and Land Value Increment Tax. By using VIKOR method for investment evaluation, the results of this study shows the total performance values of Malaysia 6.618 is the highest value in this three country, which also has the lowest average gap. Scholars and experts believe that Malaysia is more worthy country to invest than Indonesia or Thailand, is the best choice for this study.

参考文献 ( 68 ) 〈TOP〉

1.Aleksandar Andonov,Piet Eichholtz,Nils Kok(2015)”Intermediated investment management in private markets: Evidence from pension fund investments in real estate“ Journal of Financial Markets Volume 22, Pages 73–103
连结：
2.Azizi,Ali, Malekmohammadi,Bahram, Jafari, Hamid Reza, Nasiri,Hossein, Amini Parsa,Vahid(2014)” Land suitability assessment for wind power plant site selection using ANP-DEMATEL in a GIS environment: case study of Ardabil province, Iran ”Environmental Monitoring and Assessment186.10,Pages 6695-709.
连结：
3.Brent C. Smith(2006)” The impact of tax increment finance districts on localized real estate: Evidence from Chicago’s multifamily markets” Journal of Housing Economics Volume 15, Issue 1, Pages 21–37
连结：
4.Brown, Roger, Young, Michael.(2011)” Coherent risk measures in real estate investment ”Journal of Property Investment & Finance29.4/5,Pages 479-493.
连结：
5.Cătălina,Cozmei , Muler,Onofrei, Elena Claudia Şerban(2014)” The Real Estate Behavior in Response to the Tax Vagaries” Procedia Economics and Finance Volume 15, Pages 1420–1427
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使用DOI作为永久连结

引用含有DOI的文献

DOI可强化引用精确性、增强学术圈连结，并给予使用者跨平台的良好使用经验，目前在全世界已有超过五千万个对象申请DOI。 如想对DOI的使用与概念有进一步了解，请参考 （ ） 。

DOI可强化引用精确性、增强学术圈连结，并给予使用者跨平台的良好使用经验，目前在全世界已有超过五千万个对象申请DOI。如想对DOI的使用与概念有进一步了解，请参考（）。