题名

不同賺賠狀態的股票賣出傾向:資金籌碼與損失規避之調節

并列篇名

The relationship between circumstances of capital gains or losses and tendency of selling stock: The moderating effects of capital and loss aversion

作者

羅新興(Hsin-Hsin, Lo);黃于庭(Yu-Ting, Huang);王彥蓁(Yen-Chen, Wang)

关键词

展望理論 ; 賺賠狀態 ; 資金籌碼 ; 損失規避傾向 ; 股票賣出傾向 ; prospect theory ; circumstances of capital gains or losses ; capital ; loss aversion ; tendency of selling stock

期刊名称

東吳經濟商學學報

卷期/出版年月

104期(2022 / 06 / 01)

页次

81 - 104

内容语文

繁體中文

中文摘要

本研究利用股票投資情境指導語操弄賺賠狀態及資金籌碼,採用4(多賺、少賠、少賺、多賠)×2(籌碼多、籌碼低)全受試者間類實驗設計,探討不同股票購買價格的投資人在股票漲跌後的股票賣出傾向,並分析資金籌碼與損失規避傾向的調節效果。邀請受試者分別觀看八種不同模擬情況的指導語,請受試者看完指導語之後填寫問卷。分析168份有效樣本資料,獲得以下研究發現:1.股票投資人在「多賺」狀態下的股票賣出傾向高於「多賠」及「少賠」狀態;2.股票投資人的損失規避與股票賣出傾向呈正向關聯性,特別是在「少賠」的狀態;3.高籌碼且低損失規避股票投資人在「多賺」狀態下股票賣出傾向高於「多賠」狀態下股票賣出傾向之差距,小於低籌碼且高損失規避者。最後,本文討論了研究發現的學術性與實務性意涵。

英文摘要

This study adopted a 4 (higher gain, lower loss, lower gain, and higher loss) × 2(large and small capital) all between subject quasi-experimental design by instruction within stock investment. We investigated the investor tendency to sell stocks-after changes in stock prices-with respect to the stocks' price of purchase. We also analyzed the moderating effects of investor capital and loss aversion on the correlation between investor tendency to sell stocks and conditions of capital gains and losses. We recruited participants were briefed on eight simulation scenarios and subsequently completed a questionnaire. The questionnaire measured the participant's tendency of loss aversion and tendency to sell stocks, 168 valid samples were obtained. The results were as follows. First, investors tended to sell stocks in cases of "higher gain" rather than "higher loss." and "lower loss". Second, loss aversion was positively correlated with tendency to sell stocks in the condition of "lower loss". Thi rd, the difference in tendencies to sell between the conditions of "higher gain" and "higher loss" was smaller for investors with a large (rather than small) capital and low (rather than high) tendency of loss aversion. Finally, we discuss the academic and practical implications of our findings.

主题分类 社會科學 > 經濟學
社會科學 > 財金及會計學
参考文献
  1. 王韻怡,池祥萱,周冠男(2016)。行為財務學文獻回顧與展望:台灣市場之研究。經濟論文叢刊,44(1),1-22。
    連結:
  2. 林育秀(2020)。台灣股票市場權益風險溢酬之分析。東吳經濟商學學報,100,61-94。
    連結:
  3. 林育秀,胡聯國(2008)。展望理論與股票市場之從眾行為。財務金融學,16(4),107-131。
    連結:
  4. 邱炳乾(2006)。預算目標達成對風險投資的影響:展望理論與過去績效歸因的探討。管理與系統,13(1),77-97。
    連結:
  5. 邱耀初(2003)。框架效應存在嗎?籌碼效應對風險決策之影響。中華心理學刊,45(2),171-182。
    連結:
  6. 張幸惠(2011)。股市投資人的續擴承諾之探討。東吳經濟商學學報,75,133-166。
    連結:
  7. 郭敏華,郭迺鋒,邱耀初,范秉航(2005)。性別與投資行為:以台灣股票市場為例。財務金融學刊,13(2),1-28。
    連結:
  8. Arkes, H. R.,Blumer, C.(1985).The Psychology of Sunk Cost.Organizational Behavior andHuman Decision Process,35,124-140.
  9. Barber, B. M.,Odean, T.(1999).The courage of misguided convictions.Financial Analysts Journal,55(6)
  10. Barberis, N.,Huang, M.(2001).Mental Accounting, Loss Aversion, and Individual Stock Returns.The Journal of Finance,56(4),1247-1292.
  11. Barberis, N.,Huang, M.,Santos, T.(2001).Prospect theory and asset prices.The Quarterly Journalof Economics,116(1),1-53.
  12. Barberis, N.,Xiong, W.(2009).What Drives the Disposition Effect? An Analysis of a Long-Standing Preference-based Explanation.Journal of Finance,64,751-784.
  13. Blair, E. A.,Krishnamurthy, P.,Carter, P.(2001).Attribute framing and goal framing effects inhealth dicisions.Organizational behavior and Human Dicision Processes,2,382-399.
  14. Buda, R.(2003).The interactive effect of message framing, presentation order, and source credibilityon recruitment practices.International Journal of Management,20(2),156-163.
  15. Chou, R. K.,Wang, Y. Y.,Yan, X.(2010).Patterns and Consequences of the Disposition Effect.The 18th Conference on the Theories and Practices of Securities and Financial Markets,Kaohsiung, Taiwan:
  16. Higgins, E. T.(1987).Self Discrepancy: A Theory Relating Self and Affect.Psychological Review,94(3),319-340.
  17. Hsu, Yuan-Lin,Chow, E. H.(2013).The House Money Effect on Investment Risking Taking:Evidence From Taiwan.Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,21,1102-1115.
  18. Kahneman, D.,Tversky, A.(1979).Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk.Econometrica,47(2),263-291.
  19. Keasey, K.,Moon, P.(1996).Gambling with the House Money in Capital Expenditure Decisions:An Experimental Analysis.Economics Letters,50(1),105-110.
  20. Laughhunn, D. J.,Payne, J. W.(1984).The Impact of Sunk Outcomes on Risky Choice Behavior.INFOR (Canadian Journal of Operational Research and Information Processing),22,151-181.
  21. Levin, I. P.,Gaeth, G. J.(1988).How consumer are affected by the framing of attribute information before and after consuming the product.Journal of Consumer Research,15(3),374-378.
  22. Shafir, E.,Thaler, R. H.(2006).Invest Now, Drink Later, Spend Never Accounting of Delayed Consumption.Journal of Economic Psychology,27(5),694-712.
  23. Shefrin, H.,Satman, M.(1985).The Disposition to Sell Winners Too Early and Ride Losers TooLong: Theory And Evidence.The Journal of Finance,40(3),777-790.
  24. Thaler, R. H.(1980).Toward a Positive Theory of Consumer Choice.Journal of Economics Behaviorand Organization,1(1),39-60.
  25. Thaler, R. H.(1999).Mental Accounting Matters.Journal of Behavioral Decision Making,12(3),183-206.
  26. Thaler, R. H.,Johnson, E. J.(1990).Gambling With the House Money and Trying to Break Even:The Effects of Prior Choice.Management Science,36(6),643-660.
  27. Tversky, A.,Kahneman, D.(1981).The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice.Science,211(4881),453-458.
  28. 姚慧芸,張四薰(2011)。金融商品投資人心理帳戶行為之研究。北商學報,20,1-15。
  29. 彭國鈞(2012)。國立台南大學教育學系教育經營與管理碩士班。