题名

Can Money Buy Votes? -A Case Study of U.S. Sugar Policy

并列篇名

政治獻金能否買到票?-美國糖業政策之個案研究

DOI

10.6181/AGEC.200312_(31).0004

作者

江長周(Chang-Chou Chiang)

关键词

政治獻金 ; 投票 ; 糖業政策 ; 利益團體 ; campaign contributions ; vote ; sugar policy ; interest groups

期刊名称

農業與經濟

卷期/出版年月

31期(2003 / 12 / 01)

页次

79 - 107

内容语文

英文

中文摘要

本研究的目的在於提出解釋政治獻金與美國國會議員投票間聯立關係之模型,文中檢驗了三項美國眾議院針對砂糖政策提案的表決結果。實證結果指出我們無法拒絕政治獻金與國會議員投票間具有聯立關係之假說,實證結果並指出議員即使具有農業委員會委員的身分也無法拿到較多的政治獻金。此外,本研究也發現較資淺的議員會收到較多的政治獻金,這隱含著利益團體對資淺議員有長期投資行為的傾向。最後,研究發現,砂糖業者、煙草業者及花生業者間有換票行為發生,而模擬結果顯示出即使利益團體不能捐助政治獻金,美國糖業政策仍然不會被取消。

英文摘要

The purpose of this article is to propose a model to explain the simultaneity of campaign contributions and voting. Three U.S. House of Representative votes on sugar amendments are studied. The empirical results suggest that we cannot reject the hypothesis of the simultaneity between campaign contributions from the sweetener producer and user political action committees and House voting on the sugar amendments. The hypothesis that the House Agriculture Committee members receive more money from the sweetener producer and user groups is rejected while the results find that junior members receive more contributions from both groups. This suggests a long-term investment behavior of the two interest groups. The results also show evidence of vote-trading among sugar, tobacco, and peanut farmers. The simulation suggests that the sugar program would remain in place if campaign contributions were not allowed.

主题分类 生物農學 > 農業
生物農學 > 森林
生物農學 > 畜牧
生物農學 > 漁業
社會科學 > 經濟學
参考文献
  1. (1990).The Almanac of American Politics.Washington, D. C.:National Journal Inc.
  2. Abler, D. G.(1989).Vote Trading on Farm Legislation in the U. S. House.American Journal of Agricultural Economics,71
  3. Abler, D. G.(1991).Campaign Contributions and House Voting on Sugar and Dairy Legislation.American Journal of Agricultural Economics,73
  4. Amemiya, T.(1979).The Estimation of a Simultaneous Equation Tobit Model.International Economic Review,20(1)
  5. Amemiya, T.(1978).The estimation of a simultaneous equation generalized probit model.Econometrica,46(5)
  6. Baron, D. P.(1989).Service-Induced Campaign Contributions and the Electoral Equilibrium.Quarterly Journal of Economics,104
  7. Becker, G. S.(1983).A theory of competition among pressure groups for political influence.Quarterly Journal of Economics,98(3)
  8. Bently, A. F.(1908).The Process of Government.Chicago, IL:University of Chicago Press.
  9. Ben-Zion, U., Eytan, Z.(1974).On money, votes, and policy in a democratic society.Public Choice,17
  10. Brooks, J. C., Cameron, C., Carter, C. A.(1998).Political Action Committee Contributions and U. S. Congressional Voting on Sugar Legislation.American Journal of Agricultural Economics,80
  11. Chappell, H. W.(1982).Campaign Contributions and Congressional Voting: A Simultaneous Probit-Tobit Model.Review of Economics and Statistics,64
  12. Denzau, A. T., Munger, M. C.(1986).Legislators and Interest Groups: How Unorganized Interests Get Represented.American Political Science Review,80(1)
  13. Fitzgerald, R.(1998).Sugar's Sweet Deal.Readers Digest,February
  14. Heckman, J. J.(1976).The common structure of statistical models of truncation, sample selection and limited dependent variables and a simple estimator for such models.Annals of Economic and Social Measurement,5
  15. Johnson, D. G.(1974).The Sugar Program - Large Costs and Small Benefits.Washington, D. C.:American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research.
  16. Kalt, J. P., Zupan, M. A.(1984).Capture and Ideology in the Economic Theory of Politics.American Economic Review,74
  17. Kau, James B., Keenan, D., Rubin, P. H.(1982).A General Equilibrium Model of Congressional Voting.Quarterly Journal of Economics,97
  18. Kau, James B., Rubin, P. H.(1979).Self-interest, ideology, and logrolling in congressional voting.Journal of Law and Economics,22
  19. Lee, Lung-Fei(1976).University of Rochester.
  20. Leu, Mike Gwo-Jiun(1990).Berkeley,University of California.
  21. Leu, Mike Gwo-Jiun, Schmitz, A., Knutson, R. D.(1987).Gains and Losses of Sugar Program Policy Options.American Journal of Agricultural Economics,69
  22. Maddala, G. S.(1983).Limited Dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometrics.Cambridge, New York:Cambridge University Press.
  23. Marks, S.(1993).The Economics and Politics of World Sugar Policies.Ann Arbor, MI:The University of Michigan Press.
  24. Maskus, K. E.(1989).Large Costs and Small Benefits of the American Sugar Programme.World Economy,12
  25. Mcgarrity, J. P., Sutter, D.(2000).A Test of the Structure of PAC Contracts: An Analysis of House Gun Control Votes in the 1980s.Southern Economic Journal,67(1)
  26. Messina, W. A., Seale, Jr. J. L.(1993).U. S. Sugar Policy and the Caribbean Basin Economic Recovery Act: Conflict between Domestic and Foreign Policy Objectives.Review of Agricultural Economics,15
  27. Nelson, F., Olson, L.(1978).Specification and Estimation of A Simultaneous-Equation Model with Limited Dependent Variables.International Economic Review,19
  28. Peltzman, S.(1976).Towards a More General Theory of Regulation?.Journal of Law and Economics,19
  29. Posner, R. A.(1974).Theories of economic regulation.Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science,5(2)
  30. Schmitz, A., Christian, D.(1993).The Economics and Politics of World Sugar Policies.Ann Arbor:The University of Michigan Press.
  31. Stigler, G. J.(1971).The Theory of Economic Regulation.Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science,2
  32. Stratmann, T.(1991).What do Campaign Contributions Buy? Deciphering Causal Effects of Money and Votes.Southern Economic Journal,57
  33. United States Department of Agriculture.Sugar and sweetener situation and Outlook Report.
  34. United States Department of Agriculture(1994).1992 Census of Agriculture.National Agricultural Statistics Service.
  35. United States Department of Agriculture(1999).1997 Census of Agriculture.National Agricultural Statistics Service.
  36. United States General Accounting Office(2000).Sugar Program - Supporting Sugar Prices Has Increased Users' Costs While Benefiting Producers.
  37. Welch, W. P.(1982).Campaign Contributions and Legislative Voting: Milk Money and Dairy Price Supports.Western Political Quarterly,35
  38. Welch, W. P.(1980).The Allocation of Political Monies: Economic Interest Groups.Public Choice,35