题名

企業創業投資中的承諾續擴:認知偏誤觀點

并列篇名

Cognitive Bias and Escalating Commitment in Corporate Venturing Investments

DOI

10.6226/NTURM2007.18.1.55

作者

林舒柔(Shu-Jou Lin);湯明哲(Ming-Je Tang)

关键词

承諾續擴 ; 認知偏誤 ; 企業創業投資 ; escalating commitment ; cognitive bias ; corporate venturing investment

期刊名称

臺大管理論叢

卷期/出版年月

18卷1期(2007 / 12 / 01)

页次

55 - 79

内容语文

繁體中文

中文摘要

本研究旨在探討廠商在對於新創事業的持續投資決策中,經理人的認知對其承諾續擴行為的影響。根據沈沒成本、控制錯覺及自我申辯等三個角度,本研究提出造成承諾續擴行為的前置因素,並以台灣上市資訊電子廠商對新創事業投資的跨期資料,進行實證分析。實證研究結果顯示,沈沒成本、廠商前年度申請上市、上櫃個案數、投資損益揭露與否及參與新創事業創立與否等因素會提高廠商承諾續擴的程度,然而當投資案呈現嚴重損失時,前三者之影響力將會減弱甚至消失。據此,本研究提出企業對新創事業續投資決策的建議。

英文摘要

This study investigates the impact of managers' cognitive bias on corporate venturing investment decisions with a particular focus on a firm's escalation of commitment to a losing course of action. Specifically, based upon three sources of cognitive bias, namely, sunk costs, illusion of control and self-justification, this study identifies antecedents of the escalation behavior. Our longitudinal empirical analyses, based on corporate venturing investments made by listed Taiwanese IT companies, shows that sunk costs, the number of initial public offerings by the firm in previous years, disclosure of investment performance and whether the firm joined the initial funding of the new venture are positively correlated to a firm's escalating commitment to an investment with a mild negative feedback. When severe negative feedback is encountered, however, the impact of these antecedents is alleviated or even disappears. Implications to managers and suggestions for future research are also discussed.

主题分类 基礎與應用科學 > 資訊科學
基礎與應用科學 > 統計
社會科學 > 經濟學
社會科學 > 財金及會計學
社會科學 > 管理學
参考文献
  1. Arkes, H. R.,Blumer, C.(1985).The psychology of sunk-cost.Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,35(1),124-140.
  2. Block, Z.,MacMillan, I.(1993).Corporate venturing: Creating new businesses within the firm.Boston, MA:Harvard Business School Press.
  3. Bowman, E. H.,Hurry, D.(1993).Strategy through the option lens: An integrated view of resource investments and the incremental-choice process.Academy of Management Journal,18(4),760-782.
  4. Brockner, J.(1992).The escalation of commitment to a failing course of action: Toward theoretical progress.Academy of Management Review,17(1),39-61.
  5. Brown, R. L.,Durbin, J.,Evans, J. M.(1975).Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society,37(2),149-192.
  6. Burgelman, R. A.,Sayles, L. R.(1986).Inside corporate innovation: Strategy, structure and managerial skills.New York, NY:Free Press.
  7. Busenitz, L.,Barney, J.(1997).Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision making.Journal of Business Venturing,12(1),9-30.
  8. Camerer, C.,Lovallo, D.(1999).Overconfidence and excess entry: An experimental approach.American Economic Review,89(1),306-318.
  9. Carpenter, M. A.,Fredrickson, J. W.(2001).Top management teams, global strategic posture, and the moderating role of uncertainty.Academy of Management Journal,44(3),533-545.
  10. Chang, S. J.(2003).Ownership structure, expropriation, and performance of group-affiliated companies in Korea.Academy of Management Journal,46(4),238-253.
  11. Chesbrough, H. W.(2003).Open innovation: The new imperative for creating and profiting form technology.Boston, MA:Harvard Business School Press.
  12. Chesbrough, H. W.(2002).Making sense of corporate venture capital.Harvard Business Review,80(3),90-100.
  13. Chow, G. C.(1960).Tests for equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions.Econometrica,28(3),591-605.
  14. Christensen-Szalanski, J.,Bushyhead, J.(1981).Physicians` use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting.Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance,7(4),928-935.
  15. D`Aveni, R. A.(1994).Hypercompetition: Managing the dynamics of strategic maneuvering.New York, NY:Free Press.
  16. Dharwadkar, R.,George, G.,Brandes, P.(2000).Privatization in emerging economies: An agency theory perspective.Academy of Management Review,25(3),650-669.
  17. Duhaime, I.,Schwenk, C. R.(1985).Conjectures on cognitive simplification in acquisition and divestment decisions making.Academy of Management Review,10(2),287-295.
  18. Durand, R.(2003).Predicting a firm`s forecasting ability: The roles of organizational illusion of control and organizational attention.Strategic Management Journal,24(9),821-838.
  19. Dushnitsky, G.,Lenox, M.(2005).When do incumbent learn from entrepreneurial venture? Corporate venture capital and investing firm innovation rate.Research Policy,34(5),615-639.
  20. Dushnitsky, G.,Lenox, M.(2006).When does corporate venture capital investment create firm value?.Journal of Business Venturing,21(6),753-772.
  21. Festinger, L.(1957).A theory of cognitive dissonance.Evanston, IL:Row, Peterson.
  22. Filatotchev, I.,Lien, Y. C.,Piesse, J.(2005).Corporate governance and performance in publicly listed, family-controlled firms: Evidence from Taiwan.Asia Pacific Journal of Management,22(3),257-283.
  23. Fox, F. V.,Staw, B. M.(1979).The trapped administrator: Effects of job insecurity and policy resistance upon commitment to a course of action.Administrative Science Quarterly,24(3),449-471.
  24. Fredrickson, J. W.,Iaquinto, A. L.(1989).Inertia and creeping rationality in strategic decision processes.Academy of Management Journal,32(3),516-542.
  25. Garland, H. G.(1990).Throwing good money after bad: The effect of sunk costs on the decision to escalate commitment to an ongoing project.Journal of Applied Psychology,75(6),728-731.
  26. Garland, H. G.,Newport, S.(1991).Effects of absolute and relative sunk costs on the decision to persist with a course of action.Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,48(1),55-69.
  27. Garland, H. G.,Sandefur, C. A.,Rogers, A. C.(1990).Deescalation of commitment in oil exploration: When sunk costs and negative feedback coincide.Journal of Applied Psychology,75(6),721-727.
  28. Gompers, P.,Lerner, J.(2001).The venture capital revolution.Journal of Economic Perspectives,15(2),145-168.
  29. Han, A. K.,Park, D.(1989).Testing for structural change in panel data: Application to a study of U.S. foreign trade in manufacturing goods.The Review of Economics and Statistics,71(1),135-142.
  30. Harrison, P. D.,Harrell, A.(1993).Impact of 'adverse selection' on managers' project evaluation decisions.Academy of Management Journal,36(3),635-643.
  31. Hayward, M. L. A.,Hambrick, D. C.(1997).Explaining the premium paid for large acquisitions: Evidence of CEO hubris.Administrative Science Quarterly,42(1),103-127.
  32. Hayward, M. L. A.,Shepherd, D. A.,Griffin, D.(2006).A hubris theory of entrepreneurship.Management Science,52(2),160-172.
  33. Hayward, M. L. A.,Shimizu, K.(2006).De-commitment to losing strategic action: Evidence from the divestiture of poorly performing acquisitions.Strategic Management Journal,27(6),541-557.
  34. Hofer, C. W.,Schendel, D.(1978).Strategy formulation: Analytical concepts.New York, NY:West.
  35. Kahneman, D.,Tversky, A.(1979).Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk.Econometrica,47(2),263-291.
  36. Kelley, H. H.(1973).The process of causal attribution.American Psychologist,28(2),108-128.
  37. Klevorick, A. K.,Levin, R. C.,Nelson, R. R.,Winter, S. G.(1995).On the sources and significance of interindustry differences in technological opportunities.Research Policy,24(2),185-205.
  38. Lamm, H.,Myers, D. G.,L. Berkowitz (Ed.)(1978).Advances in experimental social psychology.New York, NY:Academic Press.
  39. Langer, E. J.(1975).The illusion of control.Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,32(2),311-328.
  40. Langer, E. J.,Roth, J.(1975).Heads I win, tails it`s chance: The illusion of control as a function of the sequence of outcomes.Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,32(6),951-955.
  41. McCain, B. E.(1986).Continuing investment under conditions of failure: A laboratory study of the limits to escalation.Journal of Applied Psychology,71(2),280-284.
  42. McNamara, G.,Moon, H.,Bromiley, P.(2002).Banking on commitment: Intended and unintended consequences of an organization`s attempt to attenuate escalation of commitment.Academy of Management Journal,45(2),443-452.
  43. Mintzberg, H.(1978).Patterns in strategy formulation.Management Science,24(9),934-949.
  44. Northcraft, G. B.,Neale, M. A.(1986).Opportunity costs and the framing of resource allocation decisions.Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,37(3),348-356.
  45. Quinn, J. B.(1980).Strategies for change: Logical incrementalism.Homewood, IL:Irwin.
  46. Roll, R.(1986).The hubris hypothesis of corporate takeovers.Journal of Business,59(4),197-217.
  47. Ross, J.,Staw, B.(1986).Expo86: An escalation prototype.Administrative Science Quarterly,31(2),274-297.
  48. Ross, J.,Staw, B.(1993).Organizational escalation and exit: Lessons from the Shoreham nuclear power plant.Academy of Management Journal,36(4),701-732.
  49. Rudski, J. M.(2000).Illusion of control relative to chance outcomes.Psychological Reports.
  50. Ryan, P. M.(1995).Why some venture capitalists escalate and others don`t in the same investment situation.Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Academy of Management,Vancouver:
  51. Schwenk, C. H.(1986).Information, cognitive biases, and commitment to a course of action.Academy of Management Review,11(2),298-310.
  52. Shane, S.,Cable, D.(2002).Network ties, reputation, and the financing of new ventures.Management Science,48(3),364-381.
  53. Shapira, Z.(1995).Risk taking, a managerial perspective.New York, NY:Russell Sage Foundation.
  54. Shipilov, A. V.(2006).Network strategies and performance of Canadian investment banks.Academy of Management Journal,49(3),590-604.
  55. Simon, H. A.(1976).Administrative behavior: A study of decision-making processes in administrative organizations.New York, NY:Free Press.
  56. Simon, M.,Houghton, S. M.(2003).The relationship between overconfidence and the introduction of risky products: Evidence from a field study.Academy of Management Journal,46(2),139-149.
  57. Simon, M.,Houghton, S. M.,Aquino, K.(2000).Cognitive biases, risk perception, and venture formation: How individuals decide to start companies.Journal of Business Venturing,15(2),113-134.
  58. Simonson, I.,Staw, B. M.(1992).Deescalation strategies: A comparison of techniques for reducing commitment to losing courses of action.Journal of Applied Psychology,77(4),419-426.
  59. Staw, B. M.(1976).Knee-deep in the big muddy: A study of escalating commitment to a chosen course of action.Organizational Behavior and Human Performance,16(1),27-44.
  60. Staw, B. M.(1991).Dressing up like an organization: When psychological theories can explain organizational action.Journal of Management,17(4),805-819.
  61. Staw, B. M.(1981).The escalation of commitment to a course of action.Academy of Management Review,6(4),577-587.
  62. Staw, B. M.,Barsade, S. G.,Koput, K. W.(1997).Escalation at the credit window: A longitudinal study of bank executives` recognition and write-off of problem loans.Journal of Applied Psychology,82(1),130-142.
  63. Staw, B. M.,Hoang, H.(1995).Sunk costs in the NBA: A behavioral determinant of playing time and survival in professional basketball.Administrative Science Quarterly,40(3),474-494.
  64. Staw, B. M.,Z. Shapira (Eds.)(1997).Organizational decision making.New York, NY:Cambridge University Press.
  65. Sutton, J.(1991).Sunk costs and market structure: Price competition, advertising, and the evolution of concentration.Cambridge, MA:MIT Press.
  66. Tang, M. J.(1988).An economic perspective on escalating commitment.Strategic Management Journal,9,79-92.
  67. Tirole, J.(1988).The theory of industrial organization.Cambridge, MA:MIT Press.
  68. Venkataraman, S.,J. Katz,R. Brockhaus (Eds.)(1997).Advances in entrepreneurship, firm emergence, and growth.Greenwich, CT:JAI Press.
  69. Weick, K. E.(1979).Cognitive processes in organizations.Research in Organizational Behavior,1(1),41-74.
  70. Whyte, G.(1986).Escalating commitment to a course of action: A reinterpretation.Academy of Management Review,11(2),311-321.
  71. Zardkoohi, A.(2004).Do real options lead to escalation of commitment?.Academy of Management Review,29(1),111-119.
  72. 林家五(1994)。碩士論文(碩士論文)。國立台灣大學心理學研究所未出版之碩士論文。
被引用次数
  1. 張幸惠(2011)。股市投資人的續擴承諾之探討。東吳經濟商學學報,75,133-166。
  2. 張幸惠、姚名麗(2014)。基金經理人的認知偏誤與基金績效之關連性。企業管理學報,101,67-87。
  3. 趙正敏、林美蘭、余泰魁(2016)。認知偏誤影響廠商資訊專案續擴行為之研究。管理研究學報,16(1),33-60。