题名

匈牙利的民主衰退與歐盟的治理困境:對經濟自由主義的挑戰

并列篇名

Hungary's Democratic Recession and the Impasses of EU Governance: A Challenge to Economic Liberalism

作者

羅至美(Chih-Mei Luo)

关键词

匈牙利 ; 民主衰退 ; 歐盟治理 ; 政治經濟論 ; 經濟自由主義 ; Hungary ; democratic recession ; EU governance ; political economy theory ; economic liberalism

期刊名称

人文及社會科學集刊

卷期/出版年月

34卷4期(2022 / 12 / 01)

页次

841 - 885

内容语文

繁體中文;英文

中文摘要

匈牙利於2020年被評比為「選舉式獨裁政體」,是歐洲聯盟成立以來,首度出現非民主的會員國。本文旨在回答以下三個研究問題:1.為何民主衰退會發生在匈牙利此一曾經為民主轉型的模範國家中?2.為何匈牙利的民主衰退得以持續十餘年?3.為何歐盟干涉失敗?在運用與檢視六項民主衰退理論與三種實務解釋觀點後,本文認為政治經濟論可以解釋匈牙利民主衰退的發生與持續,而實務性的政黨利益觀點則可有效解釋歐盟干預的失敗。本文因此認為,在匈牙利的民主衰退與歐盟的治理困境中,真正棘手的問題是新經濟自由主義與威權治理兩者間的制度競賽。

英文摘要

Hungary was categorized as an electoral authoritarian regime in 2020. For the first time, there existed a non-democracy in the EU. This paper aims to answer three questions: First, why did democratic recession occur in a once-best performer of democratic transition? Second, why could such democratic recession continue in Hungary for more than 10 years? Third, why did the EU fail to intervene? After examining six theories of democratic recession and three practical explanations, political economy theory explained the occurrence and continuation of Hungary's democratic recession, while the partisan interest factor accounted for the EU's ineffective interventions. This paper, accordingly, argued that the real elephant in the room in Hungary's democratic recession and the EU's governance impasses was the institutional competition between economic neo-liberalism and authoritarianism in delivering better economic well-being for the majority of people.

主题分类 人文學 > 人文學綜合
社會科學 > 社會科學綜合
参考文献
  1. Euronews 2021 “ ‘Polexit’ Fears Amid Row over Whether EU or Polish Law Reigns Supreme,” Retrieved July 15, 2021, from https://www.euronews.com/2021/07/13/poland-s-constitutional-court-to-rule-on-whether-eu-law-takes-priority
  2. The Economist 2019 “How Viktor Orban Hollowed out Hungary’s Democracy,” Retrieved August 31, 2019, from https://www.economist.com/briefing/2019/08/29/how-viktor-orban-hollowed-out-hungarys-democracy
  3. EUROPA 2020 “Hungary,” Retrieved July 2, 2020, from https://europa.eu/european-union/about-eu/countries/member-countries/hungary_en
  4. The Irish Times 2022 “Poland Offers Compromise in Rule-of-law Dispute with EU,” Retrieved February 13, 2022, from https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/poland-offers-compromise-in-rule-of-law-dispute-with-eu-1.4801182
  5. DW 2015 “Hungarians Rally against Orban, Appeal to Merkel,” Retrieved February 1, 2015, from https://www.dw.com/en/hungarians-rally-against-orban-appeal-to-merkel/a-18229080
  6. EURACTIV 2021 “Why Orban Pumps Billions Abroad,” Retrieved October 28, 2021, from https://www.euractiv.com/section/politics/short_news/why-orban-pumps-billions-abroad/
  7. Hungary Today 2020 “Record Support for Hungarian EU Membership, Says Medián Survey,” Retrieved December 9, 2020, from https://hungarytoday.hu/record-support-for-hungarian-eu-membership-median-survey/
  8. EURACTIV 2015 “Merkel Urges Hungary’s Orbán to Respect Opposition,” Retrieved February 3, 2015, from https://www.euractiv.com/section/justice-home-affairs/news/merkel-urges-hungary-s-orban-to-respect-opposition/
  9. DW 2021 “Poland’s Top Court Rules against Primacy of EU Law,” Retrieved October 7, 2021, from https://www.dw.com/en/polands-top-court-rules-against-primacy-of-eu-law/a-59440843
  10. DW 2017 “Angela Merkel’s MEPs Criticized for Appeasing Hungary’s Viktor Orban,” Retrieved June 16, 2017, from https://www.dw.com/en/angela-merkels-meps-criticized-for-appeasing-hungarys-viktor-orban/a-39281876
  11. The Economist 2020 “How Hungary’s Leader, Viktor Orban, Gets Away with It,” Retrieved April 4, 2020, from https://www.economist.com/europe/2020/04/02/how-hungarys-leader-viktor-orban-gets-away-with-it
  12. 24.HU 2018 “Fidesz Officially Recorded the Votes of Hungarians Living Abroad,” Retrieved April 18, 2018, from https://24.hu/kozelet/2018/04/18/hivatalosan-is-letarolt-a-afidesz-a-hataron-tuli-magyarok-szavazatait/
  13. Agestam, O.(2018).School of Social Sciences, Political Science, Södertörn University.
  14. Ágh, A.(2013).The Triple Crisis in Hungary: The "Backsliding" of Hungarian Democracy after Twenty Years.Romanian Journal of Political Science,13(1),25-51.
  15. Anders, L. H.,Priebus, S.(2021).Does It Help to Call a Spade a Spade? Examining the Legal Bases and Effects of Rule of Law-related Infringement Procedures against Hungary.Illiberal Trends and Anti-EU Politics in East Central Europe,London:
  16. Bakke, E.,Sitter, N.(2020).The EU’s Enfants Terrible: Democratic Backsliding in Central Europe since 2010.Perspectives on Politics,20(1),22-37.
  17. Bakó, Bea 2020 “Europe’s Sanctions Dilemma: How to Punish Hungary without Hungarians,” Retrieved October 21, 2020, from https://balkaninsight.com/2020/10/21/europes-sanctions-dilemma-how-to-punish-hungary-without-hurting-hungarians/
  18. Batory, A.(2002).,未出版
  19. Bayer, L. 2020 “How Orban Broke the EU-And Got Away with It,” POLITICO, Retrieved September 24, 2020, from https://www.politico.eu/article/how-viktor-orban-broke-the-eu-and-got-away-with-it-hungary-rule-of-law/
  20. Beauchamp, Z. 2022 “Europe’s Other Threat to Democracy,” Vox, Retrieved April 4, 2022, from https://www.vox.com/23009757/hungary-election-results-april-3-2022-orban-putin
  21. Beauchamp, Z. 2018 “It Happened There: How Democracy Died in Hungary,” Vox, Retrieved September 13, 2018, from https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/9/13/17823488/hungary-democracy-authoritarianism-trump
  22. Bermeo, N.(2016).On Democratic Backsliding.Journal of Democracy,27(1),5-19.
  23. Bertelsmann Foundation (ed.)(2018).Trilogue Salzburg Background Paper.Washington, D.C.:Bertelsmann Foundation.
  24. Bertelsmann Stiftung 2020 BTI 2020 Country Report-Hungary. Gutersloh: Bertelsmann Stiftung.
  25. Biro-Nagy, A.,Dobszai, D.,Kadlot, T.,Konig, A.(2016).Regime Change, Democracy and Hungarian Democracy.Budapest:Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung.
  26. Boese, V.,Lindberg, S. I.,Luhrmann, A.(2021).Waves of Autocratization and Democratization: A Rejoinder.Democratization,28(6),1202-1210.
  27. Bogaards, M.(2018).De-democratization in Hungary: Diffusely Defective Democracy.Democratization,25(8),1481-1499.
  28. Bozoki, A.(2012).The Transition from Liberal Democracy: The Political Crisis in Hungary.Mediation,26(1),1-23.
  29. Central European University (CEU) 2018 “CEU Forced Out of Budapest,” Retrieved December 3, 2018, from https://www.ceu.edu/article/2018-12- 03/ceu-forced-out-budapest-launch-us-degree-programs-vienna-september-2019
  30. Cilliler, Y.(2021).Revisiting the Authoritarian Pattern in Turkey: Transition to Presidential System.Southeast European and Black Sea Studies,21(4),531-547.
  31. De La Baume, M. 2021 “Orbán’s Fidesz Quits EPP Group in European Parliament,” POLITICO, Retrieved March 3, 2021, from https://www.politico.eu/article/epp-suspension-rules-fidesz-european-parliament-viktor-orban-hungary/
  32. Democracy Reporting International(2017).Democracy Reporting International 2017 Judging by Results. Berlin: Democracy Reporting International..
  33. Enyedi, Z.(2018).Democratic Backsliding and Academic Freedom in Hungary.Perspectives on Politics,16(4),1067-1074.
  34. European Commission 2021b “Rule of Law: Commission Launches Infringement Procedure against Poland for Violations of EU Laws by Its Constitutional Tribunal,” Retrieved December 22, 2021, from https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_21_7070
  35. European Commission 2021a “EU Founding Values: Commission Starts Legal Action against Hungary and Poland for Violations of Fundamental Rights of LGBITQ People,” Retrieved July 15, 2021, from https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_21_3668
  36. European Commission(2020).European Commission 2020 2020 Rule of Law Report: Country Chapter on the Rule of Law Situation in Hungary. Brussels: European Commission..
  37. European Commission(2014).European Commission 2014 Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament and the Council: A New EU Framework to Strengthen the Rule of Law. Brussels: European Commission..
  38. European Parliament (EP) 2020a “Parliament Approves the “Rule of Law Conditionality” for Access to EU Funds,” Retrieved December 16, 2020, from https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20201211IPR93622/parliament-approves-the-rule-of-law-conditionality-for-access-to-eu-funds
  39. European Parliament (EP) 2021a “Rule of Law: New Mechanism Aims to Protect EU Budget and Values,” Retrieved July 8, 2021, from https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/headlines/eu-affairs/20201001STO88311/rule-of-law-new-mechanism-aims-to-protect-eu-budget-and-values
  40. European Parliament (EP) 2018 “Rule of Law in Hungary: Parliament Calls on the EU to Act,” Retrieved September 12, 2018, from https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20180906IPR12104/rule-of-law-in-hungary-parliament-calls-on-the-eu-to-act
  41. European Parliament (EP) 2021b “Poland: MEPs Call for the Primacy of EU Law to Be Upheld,” Retrieved October 19, 2021, from https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20211014IPR14911/poland-meps-call-for-the-primacy-of-eu-law-to-be-upheld
  42. European Parliament (EP) 2022 “MEPs: Hungary Can No Longer Be Considered a Full Democracy,” Retrieved September 15, 2022, from https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20220909IPR40137/meps-hungary-can-no-longer-be-considered-a-full-democracy
  43. European Parliament (EP) 2021c “Poland: Constitutional Tribunal Is Illegitimate, Unfit to Interpret Constitution,” Retrieved October 21, 2021, from https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20211015IPR15016/poland-constitutional-tribunal-is-illegitimate-unfit-to-interpret-constitution
  44. European Parliament (EP) 2020b “Rule of Law in Poland and Hungary Has Worsened,” Retrieved January 16, 2020, from https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20200109IPR69907/rule-of-law-in-poland-and-hungary-has-worsened
  45. Freedom House 2020 Nations in Transit 2020: Dropping the Democratic Façade. Washington, D.C.: Freedom House.
  46. Fukuyama, F.(1992).The End of History and the Last Man.New York:The Free Press.
  47. Gerschewski, J.(2021).Erosion or Decay? Conceptualizing Causes and Mechanisms of Democratic Regression.Democratization,28(1),43-62.
  48. Gibson, E.(2005).Boundary Control: Subnational Authoritarianism in Democratic Countries.World Politics,58,101-132.
  49. Gora, A.,de Wilde, P.(2020).The Essence of Democratic Backsliding in the European Union: Deliberation and Rule of Law.Journal of European Public Policy,29(3),342-362.
  50. Grabbe, H.(2014).Six Lessons of Enlargement Ten Years On: The EU’s Transformative Power in Retrospect and Prospect.Journal of Common Market Studies,52,40-56.
  51. Haggard, S.,Kaufman, R. R.(2016).Dictator and Democrats: Masses, Elites, and Regime Change.Princeton:Princeton University Press.
  52. Hegedus, D. 2022 “Emboldened Orban Will Not Abandon Moscow,” EU Observer, Retrieved April 5, 2022, from https://euobserver.com/opinion/154656
  53. Herman, L.,Hoerner, J.,Lacey, J.(2021).Why Does the European Right Accommodate Backsliding States? An Analysis of 24 European People’s Party Votes 2011-2019.European Political Science Review,13(2),169-187.
  54. Herszenhorn, D. M. and L. Bayer 2020 “Commission Report Finds Many EU Nations Fall Short on Rule of Law,” POLITICO, Retrieved September 30, 2020, from https://www.politico.eu/article/european-commission-report-finds-many-eu-nations-hungary-poland-malta-bulgaria-falling-short-rule-of-law/#
  55. Hockenos, P. 2022 “The Secrets to Victor Orban’s Success,” Foreign Policy, Retrieved April 1, 2022, from https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/04/01/viktor-orbans-hungary-populism-election-nationalism/
  56. Hopkins, V. 2020 “How Orban’s Decade in Power Changed Hungary,” Financial Times, Retrieved May 21, 2020, from https://www.ft.com/content/414f202e-9996-11ea-8b5b-63f7c5c86bef
  57. Howe, P.(2017).Eroding Norms and Democratic Deconsolidation.Journal of Democracy,28(4),15-29.
  58. Huntington, S. P.(1991).Democracy’s Third Wave.Journal of Democracy,2(2),12-34.
  59. Iusmen, I.(2015).EU Leverage and Democratic Backsliding in Central and Eastern Europe: The Case of Romania.Journal of Common Market Studies,53(3),593-608.
  60. Jedrzejowska-Schiffauer, I.,Schiffauer, P.,Noja, G. G.(2020).Economic Actors and the Problem of Externalities: Could Financial Markets Play a Role in Democratic Backsliding?.European Research Studies Journal,23(1),215-238.
  61. Kelemen, R. D.(2018).Europe’s Pet Autocrats.ASPEN Review,2,50-56.
  62. Kelemen, R. D.(2017).Europe’s Other Democratic Deficit: National Authoritarianism in Europe’s Democratic Union.Government and Opposition,52(2),211-238.
  63. Kennan, G. H.(1977).The Cloud of Danger.Boston:Little Brown.
  64. Korkut, U. 2022 “Victor Orbán: Hungary’s Controversial Authoritarian Prime Minister Secures Yet Another Term in National Election,” The Conversation, Retrieved April 4, 2022, from https://theconversation.com/viktor-orban-hungarys-controversial-authoritarian-prime-minister-secures-yet-another-term-in-national-election-180466
  65. Kreko, P.,Enyedi, Z.(2018).Explaining Eastern Europe: Orban’s Laboratory of Illiberalism.Journal of Democracy,29(3),39-51.
  66. Levitsky, S.,Ziblatt, D.(2018).How Democracies Die.New York:Penguin Random House.
  67. Linz, J.(1990).The Perils of Presidentialism.Journal of Democracy,1(1),151-69.
  68. Lührmann, A.,Lindberg, S. I.(2018).Keeping the Democratic Façade: Contemporary Autocratization as a Game of Deception.Gothenburg, Sweden:Varieties of Democracy Institute.
  69. Luo, C. M.(2022).The COVID-19 Crisis: The EU Recovery Fund and Its Implications for European Integration-A Paradigm Shift.European Review,30(3),374-392.
  70. Lust, E.,Waldner, D.(2015).Theories of Democratic Change.Washington, D.C.:USAID.
  71. Manners, I.(2002).Normative Power Europe: A Contradiction in Terms?.Journal of Common Market Studies,40(2),235-258.
  72. Mechkova, V.,Luhrmann, A.,Lindberg, S. I.(2017).How Much Democratic Backsliding?.Journal of Democracy,28(4),162-169.
  73. Meijers, M.,van der Veer, H.(2019).MEP Responses to Democratic Backsliding in Hungary and Poland. An Analysis of Agenda-Setting and Voting Behavior.Journal of Common Market Studies,57(4),838-856.
  74. Merkel, W.,Croissant, A.(2004).Conclusion: Good and Defective Democracies.Democratization,11(5),199-213.
  75. Mounk, Y.(2018).The People vs. Democracy: Why Our Freedom Is in Danger and How to Save It.Cambridge:Harvard University Press.
  76. Mudde, C. 2022 “Orban’s Unfair Election Victory Makes a Travesty of EU Values,” The New Statesman, Retrieved April 4, 2022, from https://www.newstatesman.com/international-politics/democracy-international-politics/2022/04/orbans-unfair-election-victory-makes-a-travesty-of-eu-values
  77. Müller, J. W.(2015).Should the EU Protect Democracy and the Rule of Law inside Member States?.European Law Journal,21(2),141-160.
  78. Müller, J. W.(2011).The Hungarian Tragedy.Dissent,SPRING
  79. Office of the European Union. 2012b Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union.
  80. Official Journal of the European Union 2012a Consolidated Version of the Treaty on European Union. Luxembourg: Publications
  81. POLITICO 2022 “EU Launches Process to Slash Hungary’s Funds over Rule-of-law B-reaches,” Retrieved April 5, 2022, from https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-commission-to-trigger-rule-of-law-budget-tool-against-hungary/
  82. Ponczek, C. B. 2021 “What Can We Do about Poland and Hungary?” Retrieved February, 2021, from https://cepa.org/what-can-we-do-about-poland-and-hungary/
  83. Reding, V. 2013 “The EU and the Rule of Law-What Next?” Center for European Policy Studies, Retrieved September 4, 2013, from https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_13_677
  84. Reporters Without Borders (RSF) 2021 “RSF’s 2021 “Press Freedom Predators” Gallery-Old Tyrants, Two Women and a European,” Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://rsf.org/en/news/rsfs-2021-press-freedom-predators-gallery-old-tyrants-two-women-and-european
  85. Rettman, A. 2018 “Poland to Veto Sanctions on Hungary,” EUobserver, Retrieved September 13, 2018, from https://euobserver.com/justice/142825
  86. Rettman, A. 2021 “Germany and Hungary Clash on EU-China Relations,” EUobserver, Retrieved June 8, 2021, from https://euobserver.com/world/152076
  87. Rettman, A. 2017 “Hungary Veto Sets Scene for EU Battle on Poland,” EUobserver, Retrieved December 21, Rettman, A. 2017, from https://euobserver.com/justice/140385
  88. Roosevelt, F. D. 1944 “State of the Union Message to Congress,” Franklin D. Roosevelt Presidential Library and Museum, Retrieved September 13, 2020, from http://www.fdrlibrary.marist.edu/archives/address_text.html
  89. Rupnik, J.(2018).Explaining Eastern Europe: The Crisis of Liberalism.Journal of Democracy,29(3),24-38.
  90. Schumpeter, J. A.(1994).Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy.London:Routledge.
  91. Sedelmeier, U.(2014).Anchoring Democracy from Above? The European Union and Democratic Backsliding in Hungary and Romania.Journal of Common Market Studies,52(1),105-121.
  92. Serhan, Y. 2020 “The EU Watches as Hungary Kills Democracy,” The Atlantic, Retrieved April 2, 2020, from https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2020/04/europe-hungary-viktor-orban-coronavirus-covid19-democracy/609313/
  93. Shackle, S. 2020 “How Democracies Die: The Case of Hungary,” Prospect, Retrieved August 28, 2020, from https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/how-viktor-orban-is-extinguishing-freedom-hungary-one-liberty-at-a-time
  94. Shattuck, J.2019 “How Viktor Orban Degraded Hungary’s Weak Democracy,” The Conversation, Retrieved January 12, 2019, from https://theconversation.com/how-viktor-orban-degraded-hungarys-weak-democracy-109046
  95. Soffer, D.(2021).Hungary’s Democratic Backsliding as a Threat to EU Normative Power.E-International Relations
  96. Somer, M.,McCoy, J.(2018).Déjà vu? Polarization and Endangered Democracies in the 21st Century.American Behavioral Scientist,62(1),3-15.
  97. The World Bank 2022 “Unemployment, Total (% of Total Labor Force) (Modeled ILO Estimate)-Hungary,” Retrieved February 8, 2022, from https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS?locations=HU
  98. Tomini, L.(2021).Don’t Think of a Wave! A Research Note about the Current Autocratization Debate.Democratization,28(6),1191-1201.
  99. Van de Welle, N.(2003).Presidentialism and Clientelism in Africa’s Emerging Party Systems.Journal of Modern African Studies,41(2),297-321.
  100. Varieties of Democracy Institute(2020).Autocratization Surges-Resistance Grows: Democracy Report 2020.Gothenburg, Sweden:Varieties of Democracy Institute.
  101. Vogel, L.(2021).Illiberal and Anti-EU Politics in the Name of the People? Euroscepticism in East Central Europe 2004-2019 in Comparative Perspective.Illiberal Trends and Anti-EU Politics in East Central Europe,London:
  102. Waldner, D.,Lust, E.(2018).Unwelcome Change: Coming to Terms with Democratic Backsliding.Annual Review of Political Science,21,93-113.
  103. Wallace, W.(1990).The Transformation of Western Europe.London:Royal Institute of International Affairs.
  104. Wedel, D.2021 “A German Judge: My Fears on Rule of Law in EU,” EUobserver, Retrieved April 7, 2021, from https://euobserver.com/opinion/151388
  105. Wiseman, J. 2021 “How Orbán Killed a Radio Station,” EUobserver, Retrieved February 15, 2021, from https://euobserver.com/opinion/150916
  106. Zalan, E. 2019 “EPP Suspends Orban’s Fidesz Party,” EUobserver, Retrieved March 21, 2019, from https://euobserver.com/eu-election/144459
  107. Zamecki, L.,Glied, V.(2020).Article 7 Process and Democratic Backsliding of Hungary and Poland. Democracy and the Rule of Law.Online Journal Modelling the New Europe,34,57-85.