布希政府反恐安全戰略及其挑戰：伊拉克經驗的檢討

Bush's Anti-Terrorist Security Strategies and the Challenges: A Lesson from Iraq

10.6166/TJPS.25(1-28)

陳文生(Wen-Sheng Chen)

布希 ； 單邊主義 ； 先制戰略 ； 預防性戰爭 ； 政權更替 ； 霸權治理 ； 美國 ； 伊拉克 ； Bush ； anti-terrorism ； hegemony ； preemption ； preventive war ； regime change ； unilateralism ； US ； Iraq

政治科學論叢

25期（2005 / 09 / 01）

1 - 28

繁體中文

本論文以伊拉克經驗分析及檢討布希政府第一任期因應反恐時代來臨所採取之安全戰略，進而展望其第二任期可能遭遇之挑戰。此文主要檢視美國之大戰略及「先制」與「政權更替」戰略，並以二○○三年美伊戰爭反駁攻勢現實主義者米爾謝墨之部分主張。本論文指出布希將面臨以下幾項挑戰：一、在大戰略方面，美國既需在現實主義邏輯下與其他強權進行權力競爭，又有賴與其他強權合作遏制恐怖主義之發展；二、先制戰略突顯美國霸權的傲慢，也形成反美主義及恐怖主義的催化劑；三、政權更替策略不僅侵犯國家主權，也產生更多對美國充滿怨恨的「小賓拉登」。

This paper aims to examine George W. Bush's anti-terrorist security strategies in his first term through Iraq case, thereby to envisage the challenges to his second term. U.S. grand strategy and the strategies of preemption and regime change were evaluated. In particular, the research indicats that the U.S. war against Iraq in 2003 has refuted some arguments of the offensive realist John J. Mearsheimer. This article shows that the challenges to Bush administration are as follows: 1) With respect to grand strategy, the Bush administration has to struggle for power with other major powers and to cooperate with them to counter terrorism at the same time 2) the preemptive strategy not only reflects the arrogance of U.S. hegemony, but also serves as a catalyst for anti-Americanism and terrorism; 3) the strategy of regime change both infringes state sovereignty and produces the more and more ”little Osama bin Laden” with hatred against US.

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