A STUDY ON IMPROVING DECISION QUALITY OF PERISHABLE COMMODITY ORDERING FOR MULTI-SCENARIO

提升多情境下易腐性商品訂購決策品質之研究

10.6220/joq.201906_26(3).0002

黃允成(Yun-Cheng Huang)；賴旻儀(Min-Yi Lai)；張欣頤(Shin-Yi Chang)

perishable commodity ； optimal order quantity ； multi-scenario ； 易腐性商品 ； 最佳訂購量 ； 多情境

品質學報

26卷3期（2019 / 06 / 30）

156 - 185

英文

Perishable commodity is commodity that has time limit for storage; and its expiration date is often shorter than ordinary commodity. Therefore, its management should be stricter. Too many or too little amount of commodity was ordered could both cause business loss. Traditionally, only single scenario was discussed. However in reality, the demand is affected by various scenarios like the weather conditions or environmental factors and so on. Thus, this study focused on perishable commodity ordering strategy under multi-scenario. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis was carried out to test how the main parameters affect the total expectation profit and the decision variable. Finally, a numerical example was demonstrated to verify the feasibility of the proposed model; and some conclusions were drawn for practical applications and future studies.

易腐商品是有保存期限之商品，其有效期通常比一般商品短。因此，其管理應更為嚴格。不論訂購數量太多或太少，都可能導致商業損失。傳統上，只討論單一情境，然而，實際上，需求數量常受到諸如天氣條件或環境因素等各種情況之影響，很難以單一情境加以論斷。因此，本研究聚焦在多情境下易腐商品之訂購策略。此外，透過敏感度分析以探討主要參數對總期望利潤和決策變數之影響。最後，經由數值範例驗證本研究所提數學模型之可行性，並提出具體結論，以供實務應用和後續研究之參考。

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