题名

人力所得、條件資本資產評價模式、及橫斷面股票報酬

并列篇名

Labor Income, Conditional CAPM, and the Cross Section of Stock Returns in Taiwan

DOI

10.6545/JFS.2009.17(1).2

作者

黃一祥(I-Hsiang Huang)

关键词

資本資產訂價模式 ; 人力所得風險 ; 系統性風險 ; 條件變數 ; 定價誤差 ; CAPM ; labor income risk ; systematic risk ; conditioning variable ; pricing error

期刊名称

財務金融學刊

卷期/出版年月

17卷1期(2009 / 03 / 31)

页次

41 - 74

内容语文

繁體中文

中文摘要

本文旨於以台灣上市價公司為研究對象,實證考量人力所得報酬以改善市場投資組合之衡量問題,和允許市場風險溢酬隨時間變動的條件CAPM,相較於靜態CAPM,是否能提高對橫斷面股票投資組合報酬的解釋能力。實證結果顯示,相較於靜態CAPM,考量人力所得的靜態CAPM有明顯降低定價誤差及提高對報酬的解釋能力,但條件CAPM對報酬變異的解釋績效僅稍微優於靜態CAPM和考量人力所得的靜態CAPM。本文進一步發現小市值-成長投資組合和大市值-價值投資組合分別存在顯著異常的正定價誤差和負定價誤差。

英文摘要

Using Taiwanese stock data. this paper shows that the explanatory. power of static CAPM for cross-sectional stock portfolio return is enhanced when return on human capital is considered in measuring aggregate wealth. Unlike the evidence from the U.S. market that the performance of conditional CAPM is considerably better than static CAPM. the evidence from Taiwan stock market indicates that the conditional CAPM performs slightly better than the statistic CAPM and the static CAPM with the consideration of labor income risk. The result can be explained by the fact that the small-growth firms and the big-value firms have significantly positive pricing errors and negative pricing errors respectively. The result does not change substantially after taking various important factor sensitivities and portfolio characteristics into account

主题分类 社會科學 > 經濟學
社會科學 > 財金及會計學
参考文献
  1. 方智強、姚明慶(1998)。台灣上市公司的淨值市價比現象。管理學報,15(3),367-391。
    連結:
  2. 黃一祥、王元章、何加政、許嘉惠(2003)。台灣股市系統性風險之估計及橫斷面預期報酬之分析。財務金融學刊,11(3),1-33。
    連結:
  3. Asgharian, Hossein,Bjorn Hansson(2000).Cross-sectional analysis of Swedish stock returns with time-varying beta: The Swedish stock market 1983-96.European Financial Management,6,213-233.
  4. Avramov, Doron,Tarun Chordia(2006).Asset pricing model and financial market anomalies.Review of Financial Studies,19,1001-1040.
  5. Ball, Ray(1978).Anomalies in relationships between securities' yields and yield-surrogates.Journal of Financial Economics,6,103-126.
  6. Banz, Rolf W.(1981).The relationship between return and market value of common stocks.Journal of Financial Economics,9,3-18.
  7. Black, Fischer(1993).Beta and return.Journal of Portfolio Management,20,8-18.
  8. Black, Fischer(1972).Capital market equilibrium with restricted borrowing.Journal of Business,45,444-455.
  9. Black, Fischer,Michael C. Jensen,Myron Scholes,Michael C. Jensen(eds)(1972).Studies in the Theory of Capital Markets.New York:Praeger.
  10. Breeden, Douglas(1979).An intertemporal asset pricing model with stochastic consumption and investment.Journal of Financial Economics,7,265-296.
  11. Campell, Hohn Y.(1996).Understanding risk and return.Journal of Political Economy,104,238-345.
  12. Carhart, Mark M.(1997).On persistence in mutual hind performance.Journal of Finance,52,57-82.
  13. Chan, Louis K. C.,Yasushi Hamao,Josef Lakonishok(1991).Fundamental and stock returns in Japan.Journal of Finance,46,1739-1764.
  14. Chen, Nai-Fu,Richard Roll,Stephen A. Ross(1986).Economic forces and the stock market.Journal of Business,59,383-403.
  15. Chui, Andy C. W.,K. C. John Wei(1998).Book-to-market, firm size, and the turn-of-the-year effect: Evidence from Pacific-Basin emerging markets.Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,6,275-293.
  16. Clare, A. D.,R. Priestley,S. H. Thomas(1998).Reports of beta's death are premature: Evidence from the UK.Journal of Banking and Finance,22,1207-1229.
  17. Cochrane, John. H.(2001).Asset pricing.Princeton, NJ:Princeton University Press.
  18. Daniel, Kent,Sheridan Titman(1997).Evidence on the characteristics of cross-sectional variation in stock returns.Journal of Finance,52,1-33.
  19. Davis, James L.(1994).The cross-section of realized stock returns: The pre-Compustat evidence.Journal of Finance,49,1579-1593.
  20. Downs, Thomas W.,Robert W. Ingram(2000).Beta, size, risk and return.Journal of Financial Research,23,245-260.
  21. Fama, Eugene F.,G. William Schwert(1977).Human capital and capital market equilibrium.Journal of Financial Economics,4,95-125.
  22. Fama, Eugene F.,James D. MacBeth(1973).Risk return and equilibrium: Empirical tests.Journal of Political Economy,81,607-636.
  23. Fama, Eugene F.,Kenneth R. French(1996).The CAPM is wanted, dead or alive.Journal of Finance,51,1947-1958.
  24. Fama, Eugene F.,Kenneth, R. French(1989).Business conditions and the expected returns on bonds and stocks.Journal of Financial Economics,25,23-50.
  25. Fame, Eugene F.,Kenneth R. French(1992).The cram-section of expected stock returns.Journal of Finance,47,427-465.
  26. Fame, Eugene F.,Kenneth, R. French(1993).Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds.Journal of Financial Economics,33,3-56.
  27. Ferson, Wayne E.,Campbell R. Harvey(1991).The variation of economic risk premiums.Journal of Political Economy,99,385-415.
  28. Ghysels, Eric(1998).On stable factor structures in the pricing of risk: Do time-varying betas help or hurt?.Journal of Finance,53,549-573.
  29. Harvey, Campbell R.(1989).Time-varying conditional covariances in tests of asset pricing models.Journal of Financial Economics,24,289-317.
  30. Heston, Steven L.,K. Geert Rouwenhorst,Roberto E. Wessels(1999).The role of bets and size in the cross-section of European stock return.European Financial Management,5,9-27.
  31. Huang, Yen-Sheng(1997).An empirical test of the risk-return relationship on the Taiwan Stock Exchange.Applied Financial Economics,7,229-239.
  32. Isakov, Dusan(1999).Is beta still alive? Conclusive evidence from the Swiss stock market.European Journal of Finance,5,202-212.
  33. Jagannathan, Ravi,Keiichi KUbota,Hitoshi Takehara(1998).Relationship between labor-income risk and average return: Empirical evidence from the Japanese Stock Market.Journal of Business,71,319-347.
  34. Jagannathan, Ravi,Zhenyu Wang(1996).The conditional CAPM and the cross-section of expected returns.Journal of Finance,51,3-53.
  35. Jagannathan, Ravi,Zhenyu Wang(1998).A note on the asymptotic covariance in Fama-MacBath regression.Journal of Finance,53,799-801.
  36. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan,Sheridan Titman(1993).Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency.Journal of Finance,48,65-91.
  37. Keim, Donald B.,Robert E Stambaugh(1986).Predicting returns in the stock and bond markets.Journal of Financial Economics,17,357-390.
  38. Kim, Dongcheol(1995).The error-in-variables problem in the cross-section of expected stock returns.Journal of Finance,50,1605-1634.
  39. Kothari, S. P.,Jay Shanken,Richard G. Sloan(1995).Another look at the cross-section of expected stock return.Journal of Finance,50,185-224.
  40. Lettau, Martin,Sydney Ludvigson(2001).Resurrecting the (C) CAPM: A cross-sectional test when risk premia are time-varying.Journal of Political Economy,109,1238-1287.
  41. Lewellen, Jonathan,Stefan Nagel(2006).The conditional CAPM does not explain asset-pricing anomalies.Journal of Financial Economics,82,289-314.
  42. Lintner, John(1965).The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets.Review of Economics and Statistics,47,13-37.
  43. Liu, Y. Angela,Lee-Zer Hwang,Victor W. Liu(1996).An analysis of systematic risk in Taiwan Stock Market.Review of Securities and Futures Markets,8,45-66.
  44. Lo, Andrew W.,A. Craig MacKinlay(1990).Data-snooping biases in teats of financial asset pricing models.Review of Financial Studies,3,431-468.
  45. Mayers, D.(1973).Nonmarketable assets and the determination of capital asset prices in the absence of a riskless asset.Journal of Business,46,258-267.
  46. Mayers, D.,M. Jensen(ed)(1972).Studies in the theory of capital markets.New York:Praeger.
  47. Merton, Robert C.(1973).An intertemporal capital asset pricing model.Econometrica,41,867-887.
  48. Mukherji, Sandip,Manjeet S. Dhatt,Yang H. Kim(1997).A fundamenta analysis of Korean stock returns.Financial Analysts Journal,75-80.
  49. Roll, Richard(1977).A critique of the asset pricing theory's test: Part I.Journal of Financial Economics,4,129-176.
  50. Rosenberg, Barr,Kenneth Reid,Ronald Lanstein(1985).Persuasive evidence of market inefficiency.Journal of Portfolio Management,11,9-17.
  51. Ross, Stephen A.(1976).The arbitarge theory of capital asset pricing.Journal of Economic Theory,13,341-360.
  52. Rouwenhorst, K. Geert(1999).Local return factors and turnover in emerging stock markets.Journal of Finance,54,1439-1464.
  53. Santos, Tano,Pietro Veronesi(2006).Labor income and predictable stock returns.Review of Financial Studies,19,1-44.
  54. Sharpe, William F.(1964).Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk.Journal of Finance,19,425-442.
  55. Sheu, Her-Jiun,Soushan Wu,Kuang-Ping Ku(1998).Cross-sectional relationships between stock returns and market beta, trading volume, and sales-to-price in Taiwan.International Review of Financial Analysis,7,1-18.
  56. 周賓凰、劉怡芬(2000)。台灣股市橫斷面報酬解釋因子:特徵、單因子、或多因子?。證券市場發展季刊,12(1),1-32。
  57. 胡星陽(1998)。流動性對臺灣股票報酬率的影響。中國財務學刊,5(4),1-19。
被引用次数
  1. Yang, Wan-Ru,Huang, I-Hsiang,Huang, Hsu-Huei,Chang, Chih-Hsiang(2013).Testing the cost of capital effects of Taiwan's first stock market liberalization.財務金融學刊,21(3),63-96.
  2. 黃旭輝、黃一祥、張志向、呂耿光(2010)。公司特有風險與橫斷面股票預期報酬—台灣股市之實證。經濟論文,38(3),503-542。
  3. (2009)。系統性風險之估計及對橫斷面股票報酬之解釋能力—投資組合重構頻率之影響。證券市場發展季刊,21(3),107-142。