台北市就業變動的經濟基礎分析

Employment Change in Taipei: An Economic Base Analysis

10.29902/JCSTVS.199803.0001

黃仁德(Jen-Te Hwang)；姜樹翰(Shu-Hen Chiang)

經濟基礎理論 ； 區位商數 ； 基礎產業 ； 乘數效果 ； economic base theory ； location quotient ； basic Industry ； multiplier effect

勞資關係論叢

7期（1998 / 03 / 01）

91 - 123

繁體中文

本文探討有關台北市就業變動的問題，首先介紹影響都會勞工遷移的區位因素，接著利用都市經濟學中研究都市勞動力經常使用的經濟基礎理論，實證分析台北市各行職業的區位商數，以認定帶動台北市就業成長的基礎產業，並以所計算的區位商數進行就業乘數分析。實證結果顯示，台北市基礎就業人數變動實際上能顯著影響非基礎就業人數的，只有商業和金融保險與工商服務業，兩者的就業乘數分別為1.22與6.07，即這兩種產業的就業人數每增加1人，將分別使非基礎總就業人數增加1.22人與6.07。

This paper mainly analyzes change of employment in Taipei. First, under consideration of locational factors, we introduces three types of urban employment model Second, economic base theory is applied to study the employment change in Taipei. Comparing location quotient with growth rate of every industry and profession, we find that Taipei's basic industries show a declining trend. This implies that employment of Taipei is in an adverse position. At the same time, we examine industries which are crucial to the employment growth of Taipei. During the period of 1978-1996, commerce industry and finance, insurance, real estate and business services industry, both are main generators of Taipei's employment growth among basic industries. Their multiplier effects of employment are 1.22 and 6.07 respectively. This implies that increment of one worker on both industries will generate 1.22 and 6.07 employment opportunity respectively.