题名

各類基本面分析指標與基金從眾行為之關聯性

并列篇名

The Relationship between Fundamental Analysis and Herd Behavior of Mutual Funds

DOI

10.29698/FJMR.201211.0001

作者

李顯儀(Hsien-Yi Lee)

关键词

基本面分析 ; 從眾行為 ; 營收成長率 ; 本益比 ; 股價淨值比 ; Fundamental analysis ; herd behavior ; sale growth rate ; price to earnings ratio ; price to book ratio

期刊名称

輔仁管理評論

卷期/出版年月

19卷3期(2012 / 11 / 01)

页次

1 - 26

内容语文

繁體中文

中文摘要

基本面分析一直是股票市場投資人廣為運用的分析工具。那基金經理人是否也採取相同的基本面分析指標來進行投資,使得他們對某些股票應何時買賣的看法相似度很高,進而造成集體的從眾行為?本文實證結果有二個發現:(一)基金經理人利用基本面分析指標所篩選出來的股票集群,確實有集體的買入從眾行為,尤其在一般型基金最為明顯。(二)在基本面指標中以營收成長率所篩選出來的股票,對經理人的從眾行為較具影響力。此結果顯示:國內共同基金經理人的買賣交易行為是會受到部分基本面分析的影響,且大部分的基金經理人較屬於成長型投資者。

英文摘要

Fundamental analysis has been the most popular analysis tools for investors in the stock market. If the mutual fund managers use the same fundamental analysis tools in stock markets, do they have the herd behaviors as they buy and sell stocks? This study has three empirical findings. First, mutual fund managers show herd behaviors deriving from fundamental analysis for certain stocks. And the herd buying stocks behaviors are significant for the general mutual funds. Further, the mutual fund managers usually select the stocks by price/sales growth ratio. The results show the trade behaviors of mutual fund managers will be influenced by fundamental analysis. Most of mutual fund managers usually prefer growth stocks.

主题分类 社會科學 > 管理學
参考文献
  1. 方智強、姚明慶(1998)。台灣上市公司的淨值市價比現象。管理學報,15(3),367-391。
    連結:
  2. 李顯儀、吳幸姬(2009)。技術分析資訊對共同基金從眾行為的影響。台大管理論叢,20(1),227-260。
    連結:
  3. 洪榮華、雷雅淇(2002)。公司規模、股價、益本比、淨值市價比與股票報酬關係之實證研究。管理評論,11(3),25-48。
    連結:
  4. 徐中琦、林皇瑞(2008)。法人機構從眾行為之研究-臺灣股市外資與自營商之比較。商管科技季刊,9(2),251-276。
    連結:
  5. 劉毅馨、蔡彥卿(2006)。月營收宣告期間私有資訊交易之探究。管理與系統,13(1),47-76。
    連結:
  6. Abarbanell, J. S.,Bushee, B. J.(1998).Abnormal Returns to A Fundamental Analysis Strategy.Journal of Accounting Research,36(1),19-45.
  7. Abarbanell, J. S.,Bushee, B. J.(1997).Fundamental Analysis, Future Earnings, and Stock Price.Journal of Accounting Research,35(1),1-24.
  8. Ball, R.,Brown, P.(1968).An Empirical Evaluation of Accounting Income Numbers.Journal of Accounting Research,6(2),159-178.
  9. Banerjee, A. V.(1992).A Simple Model of Herd Behavior.Quarterly Journal of Econom,107(3),797-817.
  10. Barclay, M.,Smith, C.(1995).The Maturity Structure of Debt.Journal of Finance,50(2),609-631.
  11. Basu, S.(1983).The Relationship between Earnings' Yield, Market Value and Return for NYSE Common Stocks: Further Evidence.Journal of Financial Economic,12(1),129-157.
  12. Basu, S.(1977).Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price Earnings Ratio: A Test of the Efficient Market Hypothesis.Journal of Finance,32(2),663-682.
  13. Beaver, W. H.,Lambert, R.,Morse, D.(1980).The Information Content of Security Prices.Journal of Accounting and Economics,2(1),3-28.
  14. Benston, G. J.(1985).The Market for Public Accounting Services: Demand, Supply and Regulation.Journal of Accounting and Public Policy,4(1),33-79.
  15. Bikhchandani, S.,Hirshleifer, D.,Welch, I.(1992).A Theory of Fads, Fashion, Custom, and Culture Change as Information Cascades.Journal of Political Economy,100(5),992-1026.
  16. Capual, C.,Rowley, I.,Sharpe, W. F.(1993).International Value and Growth Stock Returns.Financial Analyst Journal,49(1),27-36.
  17. Chan, L. K. C.,Jegadeesh, N.,Lakonishok, J.(1996).Momentum Strategies.Journal of Finance,51(5),1681-1714.
  18. Chan, L.,Hamao, Y.,Lakonishok, J.(1991).Fundamentals and Stock Returns in Japan.Journal of Finance,46(5),1739-1789.
  19. Chang, E. C.,Dong, S.(2006).Idiosyncratic Volatility, Fundamentals, and Institutional Herding: Evidence from the Japanese Stock Market.Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,14(1),135-154.
  20. DeBont, W. F.,Thaler, R. M.(1985).Does the Stock Market Overreact.Journal of Finance,40(3),793-805.
  21. Dreman, D. N.,Berry, M. A.(1995).Overreaction, Underreaction, and the Low-P/E Effect.Financial Analysts Journal,51(4),21-30.
  22. Easton, P. D.,Harris, T. S.(1999).Earnings as An Explanatory Variable for Returns.Journal of Accounting and Research,29(1),143-181.
  23. Falkenstein, E. G.(1996).Preferences for Stock Characteristics as Revealed by Mutual Fund Portfolio Holdings.Journal of Finance,51(1),111-135.
  24. Fama, E.,French, K.(1992).The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns.Journal of Finance,47(3),427-465.
  25. Gatzlaff, K. M.,McCullough, K. A.(2010).The Effect of Data Breaches on Shareholder Wealth.Risk Management and Insurance Review,13(1),61-83.
  26. Graham, B.(1973).The Intelligent Investor a Book of Practical Counsel.Harper & Row, Publishers, Inc.
  27. Jaffe, J.,Keim, D.,Westerfield, R.(1989).Earnings Yields, Market Values and Stock Return.Journal of Finance,44(1),135-148.
  28. Jegadeesh, N.,Livnat, J.(2006).Revenue Surprises and Stock Returns.Journal of Accounting and Economics,41(1-2),147-171.
  29. Jegadeesh, N.,Titaman, S.(1993).Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency.Journal of Finance,48(1),65-91.
  30. Krishnaswami, S.,Spindt, P. A.,Subramaniam, V.(1999).Information Asymmetry, Monitoring, and the Placement Structure of Corporate Debt.Journal of Financial Economics,51(3),407-434.
  31. Lakonishok, J.,Shleifer, A.,Vishny, R. W.(1994).Constrain Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk.Journal of Finance,49(5),1541-1579.
  32. Lakonishok, J.,Shleifer, A.,Vishny, R. W.(1992).The Impact of Institutional Trading on Stock Prices.Journal of Financial Economics,32(1),23-43.
  33. Lang, L.,Ofek, E.,Stulz, R. M.(1996).Leverage, Investment, and Firm Growth.Journal of Financial Economics,40(1),3-29.
  34. Lewellen, W.,Loderer, C.,Martin, K.(1987).Executive Compensation Contracts and Executive Incentive Problems: An Empirical Analysis.Journal of Accounting and Economics,9(3),287-310.
  35. Malkiel, B. G.(2003).A random Walk Down Wall Street: the Time-Tested Strategy for Successful Investing.W. W. Norton & Company, Inc..
  36. Morris, G. D.,Thomas, D. D.(2001).The Return-Stages Valuation Model and the Expectations within A Firm's P/B and P/E Ratios.Financial Management,30(2),93-126.
  37. Myers, S. C.(1977).Determinants of Corporate Borrowing.Journal of Financial Economics,5(2),147-175.
  38. O''Shaughnessy, J. P.(1997).What Works on Wall Street: A Guide to the Best- Performing Investment Strategies of All Time.New York:McGraw-Hill.
  39. Ou, J.,Penman, S.(1989).Financial Statement Analysis and the Prediction of Stock Returns.Journal of Accounting and Economics,11(4),295-329.
  40. Penman, H. S.(1996).The Articulation of Price-Earnings Ratios and Market-to-Book Ratios and the Evaluation of Growth.Journal of Accounting Research,34(2),235-259.
  41. Piotroski, J.(2000).Value Investing: the Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers.Journal of Accounting Research,38(1),1-41.
  42. Reinganum, M. R.(1981).Misspecification of Capital Asset Pricing Empirical Anomalies Based on Earnings' Yields and Market Values.Journal of Financial Economics,9(1),19-46.
  43. Rosenberg, B.,Reid, K.,Lanstein, R.(1985).Persuasive Evidence of Market Inefficiency.Journal of Portfolio Management,11(1),18-28.
  44. Scharfstein, D.,Stein, J.(1990).Herd Behavior and Investment.American Economic Review,80(3),465-479.
  45. Trueman, B.(1994).Analyst Forecasts and Herding Behavior.Review of Financial studies,7(1),97-124.
  46. Wermers, R.(1999).Mutual Fund Herding and Impact on Stock Price.Journal of Finance,54(2),581-622.
  47. Zhang, X. J.(2000).Conservative Accounting and Equity Valuation.Journal of Accounting and Economics,29(1),125-149.
  48. 吳幸姬、李顯儀(2006)。產業月營收與股價報酬的關聯性之研究。管理科學研究,3(2),63-76。
  49. 金成隆、張耿尉(1998)。月營收與報酬關聯性之研究。管理評論,17(3),61-83。
  50. 許培基、陳軒基、黃淑貞(2005)。基金經理人為何出現群及行為。管理評論,24(4),57-81。
  51. 傅澤偉、林曼莉(2010)。基金特性及外部環境對於基金經理人從眾行為的相關性。台灣銀行季刊,61(2),26-45。