参考文献
|
-
Christoffersen, S., and Sarkissian, S. (2002), “Location overconfidence, ” Working Paper, McGill University.
-
Ben-David, I., Graham, J., and Harvey, C. (2007), “Managerial overconfidence and corporate policies, ” Working paper, Duke University.
-
Locke, P. R., and Mann, S. C. (2001), “House money and overconfidence on the trading floor, ”Working Paper, George Washington University.
-
Schoar, A. (2007), “CEO careers and style, ” Working Paper, MIT.
-
Li, X. (2002), “Performance, herding, and career concerns of individual financial analysts, ”Working Paper, Vanderbilt University.
-
Korniotis, G., and Kumar, A. (2006), “Does investment skill decline due to cognitive aging or improve with experience?, ” Working paper, University of Notre Dame.
-
Graham, J., and Narasimhan, K. (2004), “Corporate survival and managerial experiences during the Great Depression, ” Working paper, Duke University.
-
Avery, C. N.,Chevalier, J. A.(1999).Herding over the career.Economics Letters,63,327-33.
-
Banerjee, A. V.(1992).A simple model of herd behavior.Quarterly Journal of Economics,108,797-817.
-
Bikhchandani, S.,Hirshleifer, D.,Welch, I.(1992).A theory of fads, fashion, custom and cultural change as informational cascades.Journal of Political Economy,100,992-1026.
-
Billett, M. T.,Qian, Y..Evidence of self-attribution bias from frequent acquirers.Management Science,54,1037-1051.
-
Byer, S.,Bowden, E.(1997).Gender fifference in self-perceptions: Convergent evidence from three measures of accuracy and bias.Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin,23,157-172.
-
Chang, E. C.,Cheng, J. W.,Khorana, A.(1999).An Examination of herd behavior in equity markets: an international perspective.Journal of Banking and Finance,24,1651-1679.
-
Clement, M. B.(1999).Analysts forecast accuracy: Do ability, resources, and portfolio complexity matter ?.Journal of Accounting and Economics,27,285-303.
-
Clement, M. B.,Tse, S. Y.(2005).Financial analyst characteristics and herding behavior in forecasting.Journal of Finance,60,307-41.
-
Coates, J. M.,Gurnell, M.,Rustichini, A.(2009).Second-to-fourth digit ratio predicts success among high-frequency financial traders.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,106,623-628.
-
Deaux, K.,Farris, E.(1997).Attributing causes for one's own performance: The effects of sex, norms, and outcome.Journal of Research in Personality,11,59-72.
-
Devenow, A.,Welch, I.(1996).Rational herding in financial economics.European Economic Review,40,603-15.
-
Dhar, R.,Zhu, N.(2006).Up close and personal? An individual level analysis of the disposition effect.Management Science,52,726-740.
-
Diamond, D.(1991).Reputation acquisition in debt markets.Journal of Political Economy,97,828-62.
-
Effinger, M. R.,Polborn, M. K.(2001).Herding and anti-herding: a model of reputational differentitation.European Economic Review,45,385-403.
-
Falkenstein, E. G.(1996).Preferences for stock characteristics as revealed by mutual fund portfolio holdings.Journal of Finance,51,111-135.
-
Fama, E.,French, K. R.(2007).Disagreement, tastes, and asset prices.Journal of Financial Economics,83,667-689.
-
Feng, L.,Seasholes, M.(2005).Do investor sophistication and trading experience eliminate behavioral bias in financial markets?.Review of Finance,9,305-351.
-
Frascara, J.(1999).Cognition, emotion and other inescapable dimensions of human experience.Visible Language,33,74-87.
-
Froot, K. A.,Scharfstein, D. S.,Stein, J. C.(1992).Herd on the street: informational inefficiencies in a market with short-term speculation.Journal of Finance,47,1461-84.
-
Goel, A.,Thakor, A. V.(2008).Overconfidence, CEO selection, and corporate governance.Journal of Finance,63,2737-2784.
-
Graham, J. R.(1999).Herding among investment newsletters: theory and evidence.The Journal of Finance,54,237- 69.
-
Greene, William H.(2003).Econometric Analysis (fifth edition).Prentice Hall.
-
Greenwald, A.(1980).The totalitarian ego: Fabrication and revision of personal history.American Psychologist,35,603-18.
-
Grinblatt, M.,Keloharju, M.(2009).Sensation seeking, Overconfidence, and trading activity.Journal of Finance,64,549-578.
-
Heath, C.,Tversky, A.(1991).Preference and belief: Ambiguity and competence in choice under uncertainty.Journal of Risk and Uncertainty,4,5-28.
-
Hirshleifer, D.,Subrahmanyam, A.,Titman, S.(1994).Security analysis and trading patterns when some investors receive information before others.Journal of Finance,49,1665-98.
-
Hirshleifer, D.,Thakor, A. V.(1992).Managerial conservatism, project choice, and debt.Review of Financial Studies,5,437-70.
-
Hong, H.,Kubik, J. D.,Solomon, A.(2000).Security analysts' career concerns and herding of earnings forecasts.The Rand Journal of Economics,31,121-44.
-
Jacob, J.,Lys, T. Z.,Neale, M. A.(1999).Expertise in forecasting performance of security analysts.Journal of Accounting & Economics,28,51-82.
-
Jegadeesh, N.,Kim, J.,Krische, S.D.,Lee, C.M.C.(2004).Analyzing the analysts: when do recommendations add value?.The Journal of Finance,59,1083-1124.
-
Kahneman, D.(Ed.),Slovic, P.(Ed.),Tversky, A.(Ed.)(1982).Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.Cambridge:Cambridge University Press.
-
Kirchler, E.,Maciejovsky, B.(2002).Simultaneous over- and underconfidence from experimental asset markets.Journal of Risk and Uncertainty,25,65-85.
-
Klayman, J.,Soll, J. B.,Gonzáles-Vallejo, C.,Barlas, S.(1999).Overconfidence: It depends on how, what, and whom you ask.Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,79,216-47.
-
Lakonishok, J.,Shleifer, A.,Vishny, R. W.(1992).The impact of institutional trading on stock prices.Journal of Financial Economics,32,23-43.
-
Lamont, O.(2002).Macroeconomic forecasts and microeconomic forecasters.Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization,48,265-80.
-
Langer, E. J.(1975).The illusion of control.Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,32,311-28.
-
Malmendier, U.,Nagel, S.(2011).Depression babies: Do macroeconomic experiences affect risk-taking?.Quarterly Journal of Economics,126,373-416.
-
Malmendier, U.,Tate, G.,Yan, J.(2011).Overconfidence and early-life experiences: the effect of managerial traits on corporate financial policies.Journal of Finance,66,1687-1733.
-
Menkhoff, L.,Schmidt, U.,Brozynski, T.(2006).The impact of experience on risk taking, overconfidence, and herding of fund managers: Complementary survey evidence.European Economic Review,50,1753-66.
-
Mikhail, M. B.,Beverly R. W.,Richard, H. W.(2004).Do security analysts exhibit persistent differences in stock picking ability?.Journal of Financial Economics,74,67-91.
-
Mikhail, M. B.,Beverly, R. W.,Richard, H. W.(1997).Do security analysts improve their performance with experience?.Journal of Accounting Research,35,131-66.
-
Prendergast, C.,Stole, L.(1996).Impetuous youngsters and jaded old-timers: Acquiring a reputation for learning.Journal of Political Economy,194,1105-1134.
-
Scharfstein, D. S.,Stein, J.(1990).Herd behavior and investment.American Economic Review,80,465-79.
-
Soll, J. B.,Klayman, J.(2004).Overconfidence in interval estimates.Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition,30,299-314.
-
Svenson, O.(1981).Are we all less risky and more skillful than our fellow drivers?.Acta Psychologica,47,143-48.
-
Trueman, B.(1994).Analyst forecasts and herding behavior.Review of Financial Studies,7,97-124.
-
Welch, I.(2000).Herding among security analysts.Journal of Financial Economics,58,369-96.
-
Zwiebel, J.(1995).Corporate conservatism and relative compensation.The Journal of Political Economy,103,1-25.
|