台灣家庭休閒支出之實證研究－分量迴歸方法之應用

Taiwanese Household Leisure Expenditure: Evidence of Quantile Regression Analysis

10.6736/JPSR.200903_6(1).0004

余惠芳(Hui-Fun Yu)；徐明洸(Ming-Kuang Shyu)

休閒支出 ； 分量迴歸 ； 核心家庭 ； 非核心家庭 ； Leisure Expenditure ； Quantile Regression ； Nuclear Family ； Clear Family

績效與策略研究

6卷1期（2009 / 03 / 01）

67 - 87

繁體中文

本文考量樣本的尾端或極值所造成之估計偏誤，以分量迴歸方法估計台灣的休閒支出函數，藉此呈現全部家庭、核心家庭及非核心家庭等三個樣本，各種不同特性自變數之休閒支出率。實證結果顯示，休閒支出函數在高條件分量下較其他四個條件分量有效率，解釋能力較佳，亦能針對以最小平方法估計之結果，尤其都市層別、戶長性別、戶長教育程度、戶長部門及住宅所屬情形等不顯著變數，更能釐清此五個變數與休閒支出間之模糊關係，以提供政策制定者及遊憩產業者行銷策略之參考。

After considering the tail and outlier of sample, this study estimates Taiwan's leisure expenditure equation based on quantile regression, and examines the sample or sub-sample of the whole family, unclear family and clear family among the population. The empirical result show that the higher level of quantile was one of the most efficiency and more explained in the leisure expenditure equation. By contrast, the linear regressions estimated by the ordinary least square method are unable to reveal the urban, the householder of sex, education, a public official and the ownership of real estate etc. Applying quantile regression to leisure expenditure, this study provides new evidence on Taiwan‘s leisure expenditure, also provides information to researchers, policy makers, financial counselors, and business managers who focus on the leisure expenditures of unclear family and clear family.

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