災害風險評估研究之探討

Disaster Risk Assessment Development Trend

10.6459/JCM.200903_6(1).0005

陳禹銘(Y.M.Chen)；蘇昭郎(J.L.Su)；樊國恕(K.S.Fan)

災害風險評估 ； 危害分析 ； 關聯性 ； 相互關聯性 ； 脆弱度 ； disaster risk assessment ； hazard analysis ； dependency ； interdependency ； vulnerability

危機管理學刊

6卷1期（2009 / 03 / 01）

41 - 50

繁體中文

氣候變遷在全球多處引發多起重大災害間接揭露傳統災害風險線性評估與考量之不足。災害風險分析包含危害(hazard)分析與脆弱度分析之考量(vulnerability)。近年來學界擴大探討脆弱度之影響程度，包含社會性，經濟性，物理性與環境性之關連性。災害風險評估是擬減災策略重要的依據，整體性考量的必要性與迫切性已經逐漸受到關注。政策面與技術面之結合與配合是災害防救重要的連結橋墩。決策者在不演變成脆弱度源頭的前提下應該釐清災害與各脆弱度層面之關聯性與相互關聯性，並擷取最佳化平衡以利永續掌控脆弱度之提升。

Climate change reflecting on increased both frequency and severity of natural hazards has received serious attention from government of many countries. With sustainable development policy in place, governments are taking hazard issue seriously and strategically encourage scientific involvement via substantial funding. Recent advancement in vulnerability exploration outlined a broader scope of consideration in disaster risk analysis, while incorporating not only social, environmental, economical and physical aspects of vulnerability, their dependency and interdependency investigations become a vital element to express the overall vulnerability and risk explicitly. Disaster risk assessment is imperative to the manipulation of disaster reduction and mitigation strategies. To avoid the government becoming the source of vulnerability to hazards, internal optimization should be performed to reduce overall vulnerability to hazards. However, prior this is achievable, explicit relationship describing vulnerability factors and hazards need to be identified. For this reason, collaboration between scientific and decision-making communities should be encouraged.~

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