题名

The Prediction for Shanghai Business Climate Index by Grey Model

作者

Weisi Zhang;Hongyan Li

关键词

Business climate index ; GM (1 ; 1) model ; grey model

期刊名称

Research Journal of Applied Sciences, Engineering and Technology

卷期/出版年月

7卷14期(2014 / 04 / 12)

页次

2976 - 2980

内容语文

英文

英文摘要

This study predicts Shanghai Business Climate Index from the third quarter of 2013 to the first quarter of 2014 by Grey Model. Business climate index (enterprise integrated production business index) is the judgments and expectations index to the development of an enterprise in the future. By comparing the forecasting accuracy of three grey models, i.e., GM (1, 1) model, Verhulst model and the DGM (2, 1) model, the results show that the forecasting accuracy of GM (1, 1) model is higher than Verhulst model and DGM (2, 1) model. And GM (1, 1) model is used to predict Shanghai business climate index in the next three quarters.

主题分类 工程學 > 工程學綜合
工程學 > 機械工程