题名

遊客之住宿選擇與住宿消費支出影響之研究-選樣偏誤模型估計法

并列篇名

Determinants of Lodging Choices and Lodging Expenditure on Trips: Application of Selection Bias Model

DOI

10.6157/2014.5(1).4

作者

謝淑芬

关键词

選樣偏誤模型 ; 旅遊消費支出 ; 旅遊決策 ; selection bias model ; travel expenditure ; travel decisions

期刊名称

休閒與遊憩研究

卷期/出版年月

6卷1期(2014 / 05 / 01)

页次

121 - 170

内容语文

繁體中文

中文摘要

北宜高雪山隧道的通車促使宜蘭與台北之間的距離拉近,造成宜蘭遊客消費行為改變,以及對宜蘭觀光業的衝擊。其中尤以對宜蘭旅館業者之衝擊較大,部份相關研究雖予以證實,但囿於調查資料與研究方法的侷限,研究結果未能提供有利的證據予以支持。本研究先採用民國96年交通部觀光局的國人旅遊狀況調查資料,進行兩項選樣偏誤模型分別推估影響宜蘭遊客住宿選擇與消費支出的決定性因素,首先以heckprobit模型探討宜蘭地區遊客之住宿選擇,繼以two-stage tobit估計法進行遊客住宿消費支出的估計。研究結果顯示影響遊客住宿選擇與住宿消費支出的因素並非一致,期能提供宜蘭旅館業者進行行銷策略之參考,以及供當地政府進行旅館業者輔導及觀光政策擬定之參考。

英文摘要

The new Hsuehshan Tunnel has prompted the distance between Yilan and Taipei to narrow; this has induced changes in consumer behavior among Yilan tourists as well as impacted Yilan's tourism industry. In particular, the tunnel has had a great impact on the Yilan lodging industry. While some research has been conducted to establish this phenomenon, the results are yet to be studied; this relative lack of research data and methodology necessitates the need for more conclusive evidence in support of the research result mention above. In this study, using the 2007 years of survey data mentioned above, we conducted two selection bias model to analyze the impact on Yilan tourist lodging choices and expenditure. First, using a Heckprobit Model to estimate the lodging choices of Yilan's tourists, and then employing a two-stage Tobit model to estimate the lodging expenditure of tourist. The results show that the impact of tourist lodging choices and lodging expenditures factors are not consistent. It provide references that may be accessed by the Yilan hotel industry in the framing of marketing strategies; these could be useful for the local government as well-as a basis for counseling the lodging industry and as a reference for tourism policy formulation.

主题分类 人文學 > 地理及區域研究
参考文献
  1. 吳慶烜(2006)。意象行銷探討消費者參與溫泉旅館決策因素之研究─以關嶺溫泉為例。嘉南學報,32,399-417。
    連結:
  2. 沈進成、何太山(2007)。烏山頭水庫風景區遊客期望、實際體驗、停留時間及消費支出影響關係之研究。真理觀光學報,,5,1-16。
    連結:
  3. 林士彥、林卓民、李俊彥(2007)。應用多項羅吉特模型分析消費支出與服務品質之研究─以溫泉區旅館爲例。戶外遊憩研究,20(2),39-57。
    連結:
  4. 黃章展、李維貞(2006)。生活型態、環境偏好對於遊客住宿基地選擇之影響。戶外遊憩研究,19(2),63-85。
    連結:
  5. 樓邦儒、賈立人、郭金水(2008)。模糊多評準決策最適區位之研究─以遊客住宿選擇爲例。社會與區域發展學報,1(1),61-78。
    連結:
  6. 謝淑芬(2007)。家計單位人口結構對旅遊消費支出影響之研究─分量迴歸模型之應用。戶外遊憩研究,17(1),77-92。
    連結:
  7. 謝淑芬(2007)。臺灣地區國民旅遊消費型態與相關影響因素之研究─Two-Stage Tobit 估計法。觀光研究學報,13(2),139-164。
    連結:
  8. 顏家芝(2004)。都會交通系統之改變對居民遊憩行為與遊憩活動參與之影響—以大台北捷運系統營運為例。戶外遊憩研究,17(1),77-92。
    連結:
  9. 郭顏慧、楊宜敏、江志雄、游明金、黃立翔、游太郎(2006,6 月14日)。宜花攬客多元宿求,自由電子報,生活新聞版。
  10. 交通部觀光局(2005)。國人旅遊狀況調察。台北市,交通部觀光局編製。 DOI: 10.6141/TW-SRDA-AG02
  11. 戴永華 (2006,6 月18 日)。雪隧通車 礁溪,利空,聯合晚報,8 版。
  12. 交通部觀光局(2006)。國人旅遊狀況調察。台北市,交通部觀光局編製。 DOI: 10.6141/TW-SRDA-AG02
  13. 戴永華、羅建旺、吳淑君(2006,8 月15 日)。《雪隧通車後》觀光板塊挪移 宜蘭頭冷尾熱,聯合報,A11 版
  14. 交通部觀光局(2007)。國人旅遊狀況調察。台北市,交通部觀光局編製。 DOI: 10.6141/TW-SRDA-AG02
  15. Agarwal, V.B.,Yochum, G.R.(1999).Tourist spending and race of visitors.Journal of Travel Research,38(2),173-176.
  16. Aguiló, E.,Juaneda, C(2000).Tourist expenditures in mass tourism market.Annals of Tourism Research,27(3),624-637.
  17. ALegre, J.,Pou, L.(2004).Micro-economic determinants of the probability of tourism consumption.Tourism Economics,10(2),125-144.
  18. Antonine, Z.(1998).Wires' involvement in tourism decision process.Annals of Tourism Research,25(4),890-903.
  19. Aristei,D.,Pieroni,L.(2008).A Double-Hurdle approach to modelling Tobacco Consumption in Italy.Applied Economics,40(19),2463-2476.
  20. Azim, T. S. A.(2010).The relationship between the perception of risk and the decision making process of travel of French tourists: The case of Egypt.Tourismos,5(2),29-47.
  21. Blaylock, J. R.,Blisard, W. N.(1991).Consumer demand analysis when zero consumption occurs: The case of cigarettes.Washington, D. C:U. S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Services.
  22. Bonn, M.,Furr, H.,Uysal, M.(1992).Seasonal variation of coastal resort visitors : Hilton Head Island.Journal of Travel Research,31(2),50-56.
  23. Cai, L.A.(1998).Analyzing household food expenditure patterns on trips and vacations: A tobit model.Journal of Hospitality & Tourism Research,22(4),338-358.
  24. Cai, L.A.(1999).Relationship of household characteristics and lodging expenditure on leisure trips.Journal of Hospitality & Leisure Marketing,6(2),5-18.
  25. Cai, L.A.,Hong, G.,Morrison, A.(1995).Household expenditure patterns for tourism products and services.Journal of Travel and Tourism Marketing,4(4),15-40.
  26. Cannon, T.,Ford, J.(2002).Relationship of demographic and trip characteristics to visitor spending: an analysis of sports travel visitors across time.Tourism Economics,8(3),263-271.
  27. Carter, P. L.(2008).Coloured Places and Pigmented Holidays: Racialized Leisure Travel.Tourism Geographies,10(3),265-284.
  28. Clark, R.N.,Downing, K.B(1985).Why here and not there: the conditional nature of recreation choice'.Proceedings of the Symposium on Recreation Choice Behavior,Ogden, UT:
  29. Coenen, M.,van Eekeren L.(2003).A Study of the demand for domestic tourism by Swedish households using a two-staged budgeting model.Scandinavian Journal of Hospitality and Tourism,3,114-133.
  30. Correia, A.,Pimpao, A.(2008).Decision-making processes of Portuguese tourist travelling to South America and Africa.International Journal of Culture, Tourism and Hospitality Research,2(4),330-373.
  31. Crouch, G. I.(1994).The study of international tourism demand: A survey of Practice.Journal of Travel Research,32(4),41-55.
  32. Dardis, R.,Derrick, F.,Lehfeld, A.,Wolfe, K. E.(1981).Cross-section studies of recreation expenditures in the United Sates.Journal of Leisure Research,13(3),181-194.
  33. Dardis, R.,Soberon-Ferrer, H.,Patro, D.(1994).Analysis of leisure expenditures in the United States.Journal of Leisure Research,26(4),309-321.
  34. Decrop, A.(2005).Group processes in vacation decision-making.Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing,18(3),23-36.
  35. Dellaert, B. G.C.,Ettema, D. F.,Lindh, C.(1998).Multi-faceted tourist travel decisions: a constraint-based conceptual framework to describe tourists' sequential choices of travel components.Tourism Management,19(4),313-320.
  36. DiPietro, R. B.,Wang, Y.,Rompf, P.,Severt, D.(2007).At-destination visitor information search and venue decision strategies.International Journal of Tourism Research,9(3),175-188.
  37. Dubin, J. A.,Rivers, D.(1989).Selection bias in linear regression, logit and probit Models.SociologicalMethods and Research,18,360-90.
  38. Engel, F.J.,Blackwell, R.D.,Miniard, P.W.(1995).Consumer behavior.New York:Dryden Press.
  39. Epenger, D.,Meged, K.,Snelling, M.,Worrall, K.(1990).Information search strategies by destination-naive tourists.Journal of Travel Research,29(1),13-16.
  40. Eugenio-Martin, J.L.(2003).Modelling determinants of tourism demand as a five-stage process: A discrete choice methodological approach.Tourism Hospitality Research,4(4),341-354.
  41. Fan, J. X.(1997).Expenditures patterns of Asian Americans: Evidence from the U.S. Consumer Expenditure Survey, 1980-1992.Family and Consumer Sciences Research Journal,25(4),339-368.
  42. Fish, M.,Waggle, D.(1996).Current income versus total expenditure measures in regression models of vacation and pleasure travel.Journal of Travel Research,35(2),70-74.
  43. Fodness, D.,Murry, B.(1998).A typology of tourist information search strategies.Journal of Travel Research,37(2),108-119.
  44. Gerd,A.(2008).Estimating the economic impact of an increase in inbound tourism on the German economy using TSA Results.Journal of Travel Research,47(2),197-207.
  45. Gokovali, U.,Bahar, O.,Kozak, M.(2007).Determinants of length of stay: a practical use of survival analysis.Tourism Management,28(3),736-746.
  46. Heckman, J. J.(1976).The common structure of statistical models of truncation, sample selection and limited dependent variables and a simple estimator for such models.The Annals of Economic and Social Measurement,5(4),475-492.
  47. Heckman, J. J.(1979).Sample selection bias as a specification error.Econometrica,47(1),153-161.
  48. Hong, G.S.,Fan, J.X.,Palmer, L.,Bhargava, V.(2005).Leisure travel expenditure patterns by family life cycle stages.Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing,18(2),15-30.
  49. Hong, S.K.,Kim, J.H.,Jang, H.,Lee, S.(2006).The role of categorization, affective image and constraints on destination choice: An application of the NMNL model.Tourism Management,27(5),750-761.
  50. Horner, S.,Swarbrooke, J.(1996).Marketing Tourism, Hospitality, and Leisure in Europe.London:International Thonson Business Press.
  51. Howard, D.R.,Madrigal, R.(1990).Who makes the decision : the parent or child? The perceived influence of parents or children on the purchase of recreation service.Journal of Leisure Research,22(3),224-258.
  52. Huybers, T.(2003).Modelling short-break holiday destination choices.Tourism Economics,9(4),389-405.
  53. Huybers, T.(2005).Destination choice modelling : What's in a name.Tourism Economics,11(3),329-350.
  54. Iverson, T.J.(1997).Japanese visitors to Guam: Lessons from experience.Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing,6(1),41-54.
  55. Jang, S.C.,Bai, B.,Hong, G.S.,O'Leary, J.T.(2004).Understanding travel expenditure patterns: A study of Japanese pleasure travelers to the United States by income level.Tourism management,25(3),331-341.
  56. Jang, S.C.,Cai, L.A.,Morrison,A.M.,O'Leary,J.T(2005).The effects of travel activities and seasons on expenditure.International Journal Tourism Research,7,335-346.
  57. Jang,S.C.,Ham,S.,Hong,G.S.(2007).Food-away-from-home expenditure of senior households in the United States: A double-hurdle approach.Journal of Hospitality & Tourism Research,31(2),147-167.
  58. Jones, T.,Wood, D.,Catlin, J.,Norman, B.(2009).Expenditure and ecotourism: predictors of expenditure for whale shark tour participants.Journal of Ecotourism,8(1),32-50.
  59. Kattiyapornpong,U.,Miller, K. E.(2009).Socio-demographic constraints to travel behavior.International Journal of Culture, Tourism and Hospitality Research,81-94.
  60. Khadaroo, J,Seetanah, B.(2008).The role of transport infrastructure in international tourism development: A gravity model approach.Tourism Management,29(5),831-840.
  61. Kim, W. G.,Qu, H.(2002).Determinants of domestic travel expenditure in South Korea.Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing,13(1),83-95.
  62. Kozak, M.,Crotts,J. C.,Law, R.(2007).The impact of the perception of risk on international travelers.International Journal of Tourism Research,9(4),233-242.
  63. Laesser,C.,Crouch,G.I.(2006).Segmenting markets by travel expenditure patterns: The case of international visitors to Australia.Journal of Travel Research,44(4),397-406.
  64. Lawson, R.(1991).Patterns of tourist expenditure and typs of vacation across the family life cycle.Journal of Travel Research,29(4),12-18.
  65. Lazaridis, P.(2004).Olive oil consumption in Greece: A micro econometric analysis.Journal of Family and Economic Issues,25(3),411-430.
  66. Lazaridis, P.(2003).Household meat demand in Greece : A demand systems approach using microdata.Agribusiness,19(1),43-59.
  67. Lee, C.K.,Var, T.,Blaine, T.(1996).Determinants of inbound tourist expenditures.Annuals of Tourism Research,23(3),527-542.
  68. Lee, H,C.(2001).Determinants of recreational boater expenditures on trips.Tourism Management,22(6),659-667.
  69. Leones, J.,Colby, b.,Crandall, K.(1998).Tracking expenditures of the elusive nature tourists of southeastern Arizona.Journal of Travel Research,36(3),56-64.
  70. Lockyer, T.(2005).Understanding the dynamics of the hotel accommodation purchase decision.International Journal of Contemporary Hospitality Management,17(6),481-492.
  71. Mathieson, A.,Wall G.(1982).Tourism: Economic, Physical and Social Impacts.London:Longman.
  72. Mayo, E. J.,Jarvis, L. P.(1981).The Psychology of Leisure Travel.Boston:CBI Publishing.
  73. McCleary, K.W.(1994).Gender-based differences in business travelers' lodging preferences.Cornell Hotel and Restaurant at Administration Quarterly,35(2),51-59.
  74. Mehmetoglu, M.(2007).Nature-based tourists: the relationship between their trip expenditures and activities.Journal of Sustainable Tourism,15(2),200-215.
  75. Musa, I. J.,Ndawayo, B. A.(2011).The role of transportation in the development of tourism in Nigeria.Tourismos,6(1),297-305.
  76. Mutlu,S.,Gracia, A.(2004).Food consumption away from home in Spain.Journal of Food Products Marketing,10(2),1-16.
  77. Newman,C.,Henchion, M.,Matthews, A.(2003).A double-hurdle model of Irish household expenditure on prepared meals.Applied Economics,35(9),1053-1061.
  78. NFO Plog Research(2002).,Los Angeles:author.
  79. Nicolau, J.L.,Más, F.J.(2002).Heckit modeling of tourist expenditure: evidence from Spain.International Journal of Service Industry Management,16(3),271-293.
  80. Oom do Valle, P.,Correia, A.,Rebelo, E.(2008).Determinants of tourism return behaviour.Tourism & Hospitality Research,8(3),205-219.
  81. Pan, M. C.(1994).Clemson University.
  82. Peterson,M.,Lambert,S.L.(2003).A demographic perspective on U.S. consumers' out-of town vacationing and commercial lodging usage while on vacation.Journal of Travel Research,42(2),116-124.
  83. Petrillose,M.J.(2000).An exploration of customer retention factors in Las Vegas casino resort properties.Gaming Research and Review Journal,5(2),1-14.
  84. Pouta, E.,Neuvonen, M.,Sievänen. T.(2006).Determinants of Nature Trip Expenditures in Southern Finland-Implications for Nature Tourism Development.Scandinavian Journal of Hospitality & Tourism,6(2),118-135.
  85. Qu, H.,Or, Yin-sik(2006).Determinants of the travel demand model for Canadian Tourists to the U.S..International Journal of Hospitality & Tourism Administration,7(4),1-19.
  86. Rob, L.(2006).The perceived impact of risks on travel decisions.International Journal of Tourism Research,8(4),289-300.
  87. Roger, J.C.(1998).Attribution analysis of customers' hotel selection criteria by U.K. grading scheme categories.Journal of Travel Research,36(3),20-34.
  88. Russell, R. C.,Wesley, F.(2008).Going where the Joneses go: Understanding how others influence travel decision-making.International Journal of Culture, Tourism and Hospitality Research,2(1),12-24.
  89. Sakai, M.Y.(1988).A micro-analysis of business travel demand.Applied Economics,20(11),1481-1495.
  90. Song, H.,Witt, S. F.(2003).Tourism Forecasting: The general-to-specific approach.Journal of Travel Research,42(1),65-74.
  91. Spotts,D.,Mahoney, E.(1993).Understanding the fall tourism market.Journal of Travel Research,32(2),3-15.
  92. Sung, H.H.(2004).Classification of adventure travelers: Behavior, decision making and target markets.Journal of Travel Research,42(4),343-356.
  93. Thrane, C.(2002).Jazz festival visitors and their expenditures: Linking spending patterns to musical interest.Journal of Travel Research,40(3),281-286.
  94. Thrane, C.,Farstad, E.(2011).Domestic tourism expenditures: The non-linear effects of length of stay and travel party size.Tourism Management,32(1),46-52.
  95. Tsakiridou, E.,Mattas, K.,Irini,T.K.(2006).The Influence of consumer characteristics and attitudes on the demand for Organic olive oil.Journal of International Food & Agribusiness Marketing,18(3-4),23-31.
  96. Van Raaij, W.F.,Francken, D.A.(1984).Vacation decision, activities and satisfactions.Annals of Tourism Research,11(1),101-112.
  97. Victorino, L.,Verma, R.,Plaschka, G.,Dev, C.(2005).Service innovation and customer choices in the hospitality industry.Managing Service Quality,15(6),555-576.
  98. Wahab, S.,Crampon, L.J.,Rothfield, L.M.(1976).Tourism Marketing.Tourism International Press.
  99. Wang, K.C.(2004).Who is the decision-maker: the parents or the child in group package tour?.Tourism Management,25(2),183-194.
  100. Wang, K.C.,Chen, J.S.,Chou, S.H.(2004).Senior tourists' purchasing decisions in group package tour.Anatolia,18(1),23-42.
  101. Wang, Y.,Rompf, P.,Severt, D.,Peerapatdit, N.(2006).Examining and identifying the determinants of travel expenditure patterns.International Journal of Tourism Research,8,333-346.
  102. Yoo, J. Jung-Eun,McKercher, B.,Mena, M.(2004).A cross-cultural comparison of trip characteristics: International visitors to Hong Kong from Mainland China and USA.Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing,16(1),63-75.
  103. Zine, A,H.(1998).Leisure travel choice models of theme hotels using psychographics.Journal of Travel Research,36(4),3-15.
  104. 吳欣憲(2009)。碩士論文(碩士論文)。台南,成功大學都市計劃學系。
  105. 沈鈺婷(2008)。碩士論文(碩士論文)。台中,國立中興大學園藝學系。
  106. 侯成一、黃漢誠、許興家(2008)。消費者選擇國際觀光旅館之決策探討。育達學院學報,17,49-70。
  107. 許瑛卉、曹治中(2007)。蘇澳鎮居民對北宜高通車觀光衝擊認知之研究。社會科教育研究,12,278-306。
  108. 許筱吟(2005)。碩士論文(碩士論文)。宜蘭,佛光人文社會學院經濟學系。
  109. 陳永晃(2007)。碩士論文(碩士論文)。宜蘭,佛光大學經濟學系。
  110. 陳宗玄(2005)。台灣地區家庭休閒消費支出分析。臺灣經濟金融月刊,41(5),104-115。
  111. 陳宗玄(2009)。應用Double Hurdle 模型分析家庭休閒消費支出。朝陽學報,14,365-386。
  112. 黃馨慧、張倩文、高崇倫、謝佩珊(2008)。北宜高速公路通車對礁溪鄉住宿業發展之研究。臺灣地方鄉鎮觀光產業發展與前瞻學術研討會論文集
被引用次数
  1. (2020)。我國家庭套裝旅遊參與和支出影響因素之研究 —消費零支出模型選擇。臺灣銀行季刊,71(1),114-135。