近代債務危機後國際政經秩序的衝擊－以霸權穩定理論探析

The Impact of International Politic and Economic Order After the Debt Crisis from Recent Past - With the Hegemonic Stability Theory Discussion and Analysis

10.6737/JDP.201609_(13).02

王孟筠(Wang, Meng-Yun)

霸權穩定理論 ； 債務危機 ； 歐債危機 ； 美國債務 ； The Theory of Hegemonic Stability ； debt crisis ； The European Debt Crisis ； The US debt

發展與前瞻學報

13期（2016 / 09 / 01）

17 - 36

繁體中文

現階段的國際關係如同現實主義學者所言，是大國政治的局面，大國才是影響國際事務的主要行為者，國家必須追求最大權力，以保障國家利益及安全，在相對獲利(relative gains)的體系中，依然是擁有龐大資源的強國支配著跨國經濟，國際間基於國家權力進行互動的遊戲規則並未發生根本的 改變。1980年代的全球債務危機和2009年的歐債危機都是當時國際上的一些不當經濟行為引起的危機，剛開始在一個國家，隨後蔓延到其他國家甚至是全球的一種經濟後果。美國是當今主導全球政治與經濟的霸權穩定力量，但自1950年代以來，美國的國債逐年攀升，如果美國也陷入債務危機，這將給全球經濟帶來新的挑戰。本文試從霸權穩定理論入手，來探討全球債務危機、歐債危機之間的聯繫。霸權穩定理論是一個相當重要的理論，它的興起對西方整個政治經濟學的影響深遠。

The international relationship currently, as realistic scholars dissert, is a game board of great power politics, in which only great powers are the principal actors to affect international affairs. And nations have to pursue the greatest power to guarantee their national interests and security; in the system of relative gains, it is still the powers possessing huge resources that dominate cross-border economy in a way that internationally the rule of the game, in which interactions are made based on national power, has not essentially changed. The global debt crisis in 1980s and European debt crisis in 2009 arose from the improper economic activities across the world; it started from a country, and then spread to the others; even worse, it became a global economic consequence. The United States is the dominant hegemony of today's global politics and economy, but since the late 1950s, the federal government increased its borrowing from the public in all years. If the United States is also in a debt crisis, it will bring a new challenge to the whole world economic. This thesis seeks to start with The Theory of Hegemonic Stability, to explore the linkage between global debt crisis, and European debt crisis effect. The Theory of Hegemonic Stability is an essential theory, whose development has become a long-term and significant influence in the Western politic economy.

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