题名

未來情境下住宅部門的CO_2排放預測和不同調適措施的影響

并列篇名

Prediction of CO_2 emissions and implications of different adaptation strategies in the residential sector under future scenarios

DOI

10.29911/JEHVACE_NEW.202205_(133).0001

作者

賴怡廷(I-Ting Lai)；施文玫(Wen-Mei Shih)；黃瑞隆(Ruey-Lung Hwang)

关键词

住宅部門 ； 溫室氣體預測 ； 調適策略 ； 未來氣候 ； Residential sector ； Greenhouse gas prediction ； Adaptation strategy ； Future weather data

期刊名称

冷凍空調&能源科技

卷期/出版年月

133期（2022 / 05 / 10）

页次

26 - 37

内容语文

繁體中文
中文摘要

本文採用由下往上方法來預測2035年以前的住宅部門逐年溫室氣體排放量。透過蒙地卡羅法產生代表臺灣多樣化住宅的足夠案例數目，以及透過EnergyPlus模擬所有住宅案例在RCP2.6、4.5和8.5三種氣候變遷情境下的逐年能源使用情形。根據模擬數據，量化分析住宅外殼、冷氣機、家電設備和照明燈具的性能提升，和舊建築或舊設備汰舊換新率對整體住宅溫室氣體減量的影響。本文中各項調適策略的量化數據，可提供為未來政策擬定之參考。
英文摘要

By using a bottom-up approach, the paper aims to forecast annual greenhouse gas emissions from the residential sector by 2035. The Monte Carlo method was used to generate a sufficient number of cases representing residential areas in Taiwan, and all residential cases were simulated through EnergyPlus couple with the future weather under the RCR 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. Based on the simulation results, we analyzed the impact of improvement of energy performance in residential housing, air conditioners, household appliances and lighting fixtures, as well as the replacement rate of old house or equipment on the reduction of greenhouse gas from the residential sector. The quantitative data of each adaptation strategy in this paper can provide a reference for future policy formulation.
主题分类 工程學 > 電機工程
参考文献
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