臺灣貨運路網之天然災害風險評估

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台湾货运路网之天然灾害风险评估

Disaster Risk Assessment for Taiwan Freight Transportation Network

臧芊 , 硕士　　导师：黄家耀　　

繁体中文

台湾货运路网；路网脆弱度；暴露度；灾害风险；风险评估； Taiwan freight transportation network ； risk assessment ； network vulnerability ； exposure ； disaster risk

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摘要 │ 参考文献 (45) │ 国际计量

摘要〈TOP〉

并列摘要〈TOP〉

Taiwan is a highly developed, export-oriented country, where freight transportation plays a significant role for cargo import and export. Taiwan is located in tropical monsoon climate, and faces risks from natural disasters frequently, such as typhoon, heavy rain, flooding, and earthquake. Natural disasters may impose uncertainties to the operation of freight transportation network. Previous studies mainly focused on the passenger transport mode and risks of the business environment. Instead,  aim of this research is to assess the risk of freight transportation network from the perspective of vulnerability with emphasis on the impact of natural disaster. Therefore, one of the purpose of this research is to deinfine the disaster risk assessment model for freight transportation network, and utilize the data of Taiwan as empirical results.
In this research , risk assessment model is based on the multiplication of vulnerability and hazard assessment. Network vulnerability is to evaluate the generalized cost when disaster risk took place. Moreover, hazard assessment mainly foucses on natural disaster including typhoon and earthquake. The vulnerability empirical result demonstrated that the overall west freight transportation network is less vulnerable than east except the roads connected Kaohsiung port. However, the high risk road is located in the main road of Kaohsiung port which suffer from earthquake. As for disaster risk of typhoon, the high risk result happen in number nine high way. Based on previous result, this research further consolidated into different district to demonstrated the risk level. Kaohsiung and Ping-Tung area are in the high risk category due to earthquake. For west area such as Haualien and Taitung is high risk districk because of typhoon.
As from empirical results, this research also suggests related administrations to enhance links between Taipei and Kaohsiung port and boost the disaster prevetion plan for east area in Taiwan in order to mitigate the loss due to typhoon.

参考文献 ( 45 ) 〈TOP〉

Adger W.N. (2006) Vulnerability. Glob Environ Change, 16:268–281
连结：
Aven, T. (2010) On how to define, understand and describe risk. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 95, pp.623–631.
连结：
Chen, A., Yang, H., Lo, H.K. and Tang, W.H. (2002) Capacity reliability of a road network: an assessment methodology and numerical results. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 36(3), pp. 225-252.
连结：
Chen, B.Y., Lam, W.H., Sumalee, A., Li, Q., and Li, Z. C. (2012) Vulnerability analysis for large-scale and congested road networks with demand uncertainty. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 46(3), pp. 501-516.
连结：
Du, Q., Kishi, K., Aiura, N., and Nakatsuji, T. (2014). Transportation Network Vulnerability: Vulnerability Scanning Methodology Applied to Multiple Logistics Transport Networks. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, (2410), 96-104.
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引用含有DOI的文献

DOI可强化引用精确性、增强学术圈连结，并给予使用者跨平台的良好使用经验，目前在全世界已有超过五千万个对象申请DOI。 如想对DOI的使用与概念有进一步了解，请参考 （ ） 。

DOI可强化引用精确性、增强学术圈连结，并给予使用者跨平台的良好使用经验，目前在全世界已有超过五千万个对象申请DOI。如想对DOI的使用与概念有进一步了解，请参考（）。