题名

探討兩種不可儲存服務商品結合之旅客選擇行為-以高鐵與飯店服務為例

并列篇名

Exploring the Customer's Choice Behavior towards Two Combined Perishable Product Services-evidence From Hotel and High-Speed Rail Services

DOI

10.6402/TPJ.201012.0381

作者

鄭永祥(Yung-Hsiang Cheng);郭蕙瑜(Huei-Yu Kuo)

关键词

營收管理 ; 高速鐵路 ; 飯店 ; 敘述性偏好法 ; 個體選擇模式 ; High-speed rail ; Hotel ; Yield management ; Discrete choice model ; Consumer choice behavior

期刊名称

運輸計劃季刊

卷期/出版年月

39卷4期(2010 / 12 / 30)

页次

381 - 411

内容语文

繁體中文

中文摘要

高鐵及飯店所提供之服務均不可被儲存,亦皆存在剩餘容量之有效運用問題。然過去並沒有太多文獻同時探討兩種服務結合後消費者選擇之行為。故本研究嘗試將高鐵與飯店兩種不可儲存服務商品結合,利用敘述性偏好法設計出由不同屬性變數位組合成之方案,透過個體選擇模式探討在各種方案下旅客之偏好選擇行為,並輔以彈性分析與敏感度分析了解各屬性變數對偏好之影響程度。研究結果發現,旅行成本、旅行時間、退票額度限制皆為影響選擇行為之顯著變數,如價格調降至六折,再搭配某些套票之使用限制,將使高鐵搭配飯店之產品市佔率提高至五成以上,當價格調降更多,搭配限制更多時,會使市佔率有更明顯的提升。另外實證結果也發現家庭有無小孩,對於消費者選擇行為有很大之影響,研究結論與管理上之意涵應可提供高鐵與觀光業者合作時行銷策略擬定之參考。

英文摘要

This study aims to investigate the customer's choice behavior towards two combined perishable products service-evidence from hotel and high-speed rail services. Most past researches rarely studied customer's choice behavior towards two combined perishable product services, such as hotel and high-speed rail services. Therefore, this study adopts the stated preference method to obtain the possible alternatives with combinations of attribute variable levels. The discrete choice model-multinomial logit model-is adopted herein to formulate the consumer's choice by considering the tradeoffs between the travel cost, travel time, limitation on riding time, refund limitation and reservation limitation. The sensitive analysis is also conducted to examine the impact of various scenarios on a consumer's choice. Our result indicates that an appropriate pricing strategy combined with some limitations on customers can induce additional demand. Travelling with or without infants is a significant variable for customers traveling with family to make a decision on choosing a combined traveling alternatives. Several managerial implications are included and can be useful for the decision makers of hotel and high speed rail system operators in terms of marketing strategies planning.

主题分类 工程學 > 交通運輸工程
社會科學 > 管理學
参考文献
  1. 楊志文(2007)。應用整合性選擇模式探討新運具的選擇行為。運輸計劃季刊,36(2),183-208。
    連結:
  2. Manugistics, Inc. “GNER: Implementing the UK's First-Ever Rail Optimization Solution”, http://www.manugistics.com/documents/collateral/GNER.pdf., 2010.
  3. Abe, I.(2007).Science in Technology and Policy, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
  4. Badinelli, R. D.(2000).An Optimal, Dynamic Policy for Hotel Yield Management.European Journal of Operation Research,120(3),476-503.
  5. Belobaba, P. P.(1987).Survey Paper-Airline Yield Management an Overview of Seat Inventory Control.Transportation Science,21(2),63-73.
  6. Ben-Khedher, N.,Kintanar, J.,Queille, C.,Stripling, W.(1998).Schedule Optimization at SNCF: From Conception to Day of Departure.Interfaces,28(1),6-23.
  7. Bharill, R.,Rangaraj, N.(2008).Revenue Management in Railway Operations: A Study of the Rajdhani Express, Indian Railways.Transportation Research Part A,42(9),1195-1207.
  8. Botimer, T.(1996).Efficiency Consideration in Airline Pricing and Yield Management.Transportation Research,30(4),307-315.
  9. Bradley, M.(1988).Realism and Adaptation in Designing Hypothetical Travel Choice Concepts.Journal of Transport Economics and Policy,22(1),121-137.
  10. Brand, D.,Parody, T. E.,Hsu, P. S.,Tierney, K. F.(1992).Forecasting High Speed Rail Ridership.Transportation Research Record,1341,12-18.
  11. Choi, T. Y.,Cho, V.(2000).Towards a Knowledge Discovery Framework for Yield Management in the Hong Kong Hotel Industry.International Journal of Hospitality Management,19(1),17-31.
  12. Emeksiz, M.,Gursoy, D.,Icoz, O.(2006).A Yield Management Model for Five-star Hotels: Computerized and Non-computerized Implementation.International Journal of Hospitality Management,25(4),536-551.
  13. Fujii, S.,Gärling, T.(2003).Application of Attitude Theory for Improved Predictive Accuracy of Stated Preference Methods in Travel Demand Analysis.Transportation Research Part A,37(4),389-402.
  14. Greene, W. H.(2002).NLOGIT Version 3.0 Reference Guide.Plainview:Econometric Software Inc..
  15. Greene, W. H.(2002).LIMDEP Version 8.0 Econometric Modeling Guide Vols. 2.Plainview:Econometric Software Inc..
  16. Greene, W. H.(2002).LIMDEP Version 8.0 Reference Guide.Plainview:Econometric Software Inc..
  17. Hatzinger, R.,Mazanec, J. A.(2007).Measuring the Part Worth of the Mode of Transport in a Trip Package: An Extended Bradley–Terry Model for Paired-Comparison Conjoint Data.Journal of Business Research,60(12),1290-1302.
  18. Hausman, J.,McFadden, D.(1984).A Specification Test for the Multinomial Logit Model.Econometrica,52,1219-1240.
  19. Hensher, D. A.(1994).Stated Preference Analysis of Travel Choices: The State of Practice.Transportation,21(2),107-133.
  20. Hensher, D. A.(1997).A Practical Approach to Identifying the Market Potential for High Speed Rail: A Case Study in the Sydney-Canberra Corridor.Transportation Research Part A,31(6),431-446.
  21. Ingold, A.,Yeoman, I.,McMahon-Beattie U.(2001).Yield Management: Strategies for the Service Industries.London:Cassell.
  22. Kroes, E. P.,Sheldon, R. J.(1988).Stated Preference Methods: An Introduction.Journal of Transport Economics and Policy,22(1),11-25.
  23. Kroes, E. P.,Sheldon, R. J.(1986).The Use of Attitude Models and Stated Preference Models in Practical Transport Analysis.Behavioural Research for Transport Policy,307-326.
  24. Laesser, C.,Crouch, G. I.(2006).Segmenting Markets by Travel Expenditure Patterns: The Case of International Visitors to Australia.Journal of Travel Research,44(4),397-406.
  25. Littlewood, K.(1972).Forecasting and Control of Passenger Bookings.Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management,4(2),111-123.
  26. Louviere, J. J.(1979).Attitudes, Attitudinal Measurement and the Relationship between Attitudes and Behavior.Behavioural Travel Modelling,London:
  27. Palma, A.,Rochat, D.(2000).Mode Choice for Trips to Work in Geneva: An Empirical Analysis.Journal of Transport Geography,8(1),43-51.
  28. Schwartz, Z.(2004).Revenues and Asymmetric Information: How Tourists' Uncertainty about Service Quality and Capacity Management Affect Optimal Advanced Booking Pricing.International CHRIE Conference,Philadelphia, Pennsylvania:
  29. Sethi, V.,Koppelman, F. S.(2000).IATBR paperIATBR paper,未出版
  30. Weatherford, L. R.,Bodily, S. E.(1992).A Taxonomy and Research Overview of Perishable-asset Revenue Management: Yield Management, Overbooking, and Pricing.Operations Research,40(5),831-844.
  31. Yin, R.,Rajaram, K.(2007).Joint Pricing and Inventory Control with a Markovian Demand Model.European Journal of Operational Research,182(1),113-126.
  32. You, P. S.(2008).An Efficient Computational Approach for Railway Booking Problems.European Journal of Operational Research,185(2),811-824.
  33. 交通部運研所(2010)。國內城際大眾運輸業受高鐵營運後之衝擊評析與未來因應策略之研究
  34. 翁廷碩、朱容慧、黃宗成(2001)。臺灣地區主要觀光遊憩區遊客月別人數預測。觀光研究學報,7(1),67-75。
被引用次数
  1. 蔡宗憲、許雅玲(2016)。低碳觀光目的地運具選擇偏好行為之研究。運輸學刊,28(3),335-368。
  2. 郭奕妏(2012)。以尖點劇變模型探討油價與高鐵折扣票價對城際運具選擇行為之影響。運輸計劃季刊,41(3),253-278。
  3. 黃心品、周萍芬、王穎駿(2014)。台灣高速鐵路站務員情緒智力與工作壓力之研究。危機管理學刊,11(2),47-68。
  4. 葉文雅、馮正民、郭奕妏(2012)。探討高鐵實施不同票種之價格促銷方案對小汽車駕駛人運具選擇行為的影響。運輸學刊,24(4),435-466。